Multi-dimensional overall regulatory modes and threshold values for water cycle of the Haihe River Basin

• Published in: Chinese science bulletin 2013-09, Vol.58 (27), p.3320-3339
• Main Authors: Gan, Hong, Wang, Lin, Cao, YinBai, You, JinJun, Gan, ZhiGuo, Qin, ChangHai, He, Shan, Xu, Kai
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Chemistry/Food Science; Construction; decision making; Earth Sciences; ecology; Engineering; Freshwater; Government regulations; Humanities and Social Sciences; hydrologic cycle; hydrologic data; Hydrology; Life Sciences; Mathematical models; multidisciplinary; Physics; resource allocation; River basins; Science; Science (multidisciplinary); society; Systems analysis; Thresholds; Water resources; watersheds; 多目标分析; 多维; 宏观经济模型; 水循环系统; 流域水资源; 海河流域; 监管模式; 阈值
• ISSN: 1001-6538; 1861-9541
• DOI: 10.1007/s11434-012-5537-9

In this study, a multi-dimensional critical regulatory criteria and decision-making mechanism based on the scientific cognition of multi-dimensional attributes and characteristics of the water cycle was proposed. This system was functioned by deeply discriminating the nature-society binary characteristics of the five-dimensional characteristics of the water cycle system of the Haihe River Basin (water resources, economy, society, ecology, and environment) under the influence of high-intensity human activities and hydrological changes and by analyzing the organic interactive relationships between the five dimensions and their overall effect on the water cycle. A GDP calculation model was constructed in this study by adjusting the water environment for water resources, after which five-dimensional normalization objective functions were established for multi-objective analysis to carry out trade-off analysis of multi-dimensional regulatory indexes. In addition, synergetic theory, entropy theory and dissipation structure theory were introduced to construct an evaluation model for multi-dimensional regulatory schemes. A water cycle multi-dimensional critical overall regulatory model system was also established. This system consisted of a multi-objective macroeconomic model (DAMOS), water resource allocation model based on rules (ROWAS), evaluation model for WEDP (EMW) and multi-dimensional regulatory scheme evaluation model (SEAMUR) as the main body. To address the national demands faced by the Haihe River Basin as a result of combinatorial schemes for different hydrological series and water amounts diverted by the south-to-north water diversion project, this study adopted a hierarchy progression method to set up the technologies, investigated multi-dimensional overall regulatory methods, proposed an overall regulation threshold value for the water cycle of the Haihe River Basin, and recommended corresponding five-dimensional regulatory schemes.