Impacts of climate change on fire activity and fire management in the circumboreal forest

Forest fires are a significant and natural element of the circumboreal forest. Fire activity is strongly linked to weather, and increased fire activity due to climate change is anticipated or arguably has already occurred. Recent studies suggest a doubling of area burned along with a 50% increase in...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Global change biology 2009-03, Vol.15 (3), p.549-560
Main Authors: FLANNIGAN, MIKE, STOCKS, BRIAN, TURETSKY, MERRITT, WOTTON, MIKE
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
carbon balance
circumboreal forest
Climate change
Effectiveness
fire management
Forest & brush fires
forest fires
Forest management
Meteorology
peatlands
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Summary:Forest fires are a significant and natural element of the circumboreal forest. Fire activity is strongly linked to weather, and increased fire activity due to climate change is anticipated or arguably has already occurred. Recent studies suggest a doubling of area burned along with a 50% increase in fire occurrence in parts of the circumboreal by the end of this century. Fire management agencies' ability to cope with these increases in fire activity is limited, as these organizations operate with a narrow margin between success and failure; a disproportionate number of fires may escape initial attack under a warmer climate, resulting in an increase in area burned that will be much greater than the corresponding increase in fire weather severity. There may be only a decade or two before increased fire activity means fire management agencies cannot maintain their current levels of effectiveness.
ISSN:1354-1013
1365-2486
DOI:10.1111/j.1365-2486.2008.01660.x