Estimates of Survival from Radiotelemetry: a Response to Guthery and Lusk

• Published in: The Journal of wildlife management 2007-06, Vol.71 (4), p.1027-1033
• Main Authors: FOLK, TRAVIS H, GRAND, JAMES B, PALMER, WILLIAM E, CARROLL, JOHN P, SISSON, D. CLAY, TERHUNE, THERON M, WELLENDORF, SHANE D, STRIBLING, H. LEE
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Age; age ratios; Analytical estimating; Behavior; Birds; Bobwhites; Colinus virginianus; Commentary; Confidence intervals; Depopulation; Environmental conditions; Estimates; Estimation bias; History; meta-analysis; northern bobwhite; Population; Population estimates; Population growth; Quails; radiotelemetry; Ratios; Studies; Survival; survival estimation; Survival rates; Telemetry; Wildlife; Wildlife ecology; Wildlife management
• ISSN: 0022-541X; 1937-2817
• DOI: 10.2193/2005-641

Radiotelemetry has become an important and frequently used tool in wildlife research. Inferences drawn from radiotelemetry data depend on the assumption that the radiotransmitters are not influencing parameter(s) of interest. An article by Guthery and Lusk (2004) in the Wildlife Society Bulletin questioned the validity of this assumption for estimating survival rates of northern bobwhites (Colinus virginianus) using radiotelemetry data. In this evaluation, we address technical and philosophical flaws in Guthery and Lusk's (2004) critique of northern bobwhite studies utilizing radiotelemetry. They concluded that biologists should be skeptical of radiotelemetry studies and they advised researchers to design studies to address potential biases caused by radiotransmitters using independent data. Although we agree that researchers are responsible for testing key assumptions of their techniques, we believe Guthery and Lusk's (2004) conclusions were not well supported and were based on tenuous assumptions. Guthery and Lusk (2004) calculated the level of productivity (given as a fall age ratio) required to balance a simple population model that contained published estimates of annual survival and assumed an annual finite population growth rate of 1.0. We review their population model and show that the relationship between an annual survival rate and fall age ratio is nonlinear. This nonlinearity can lead to biased estimates of a fall age ratio, especially at lower values of annual survival. We also question the validity of using fall age ratios as an estimator of productivity. Further, we suggest that this assessment of a radiotransmitter effect from a survival rate itself is not appropriate. This rate can be depressed (or elevated) for a variety of reasons not related to the influence of radiotransmitters. In addition, Guthery and Lusk (2004) assumed that daily survival rates (as calculated from both annual and seasonal published estimates) were constant throughout the year; thus, they scaled daily survival rates from seasonal to annual estimates. Further, their meta-analysis was hindered by temporal pseudoreplication and a lack of independence among the observations used in the analysis. We conclude the weight of the evidence presented by Guthery and Lusk (2004) is not as strong as they claim because it fails to meet the test of sufficient causation. While scientists should always be skeptical and critical of assumptions of all methods employed in wildlife resea