The relationship between cement production, mortality rate, air quality, and economic growth for China, India, Brazil, Turkey, and the USA: MScBVAR and MScBGC analysis

The related literature reveal that the papers on environmental pollution do not sufficiently analyse the cement production which is an important determinant of air pollution and health problems by using econometric methods. To fill this gap, this paper aims to examine the relationship between cement...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Environmental science and pollution research international 2020, Vol.27 (2), p.2248-2263
Main Author: Bildirici, Melike E.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Air pollution
Air Pollution - statistics & numerical data
Air quality
Aquatic Pollution
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
Bayes Theorem
Bayesian analysis
Brazil
Carbon Dioxide
Cement
China
Earth and Environmental Science
Econometrics
Economic development
Economic Development - statistics & numerical data
Economic growth
Economic models
Economics
Ecotoxicology
Environment
Environmental Chemistry
Environmental Health
Environmental science
Health problems
India
Mathematical models
Mortality
Research Article
Turkey
Waste Water Technology
Water Management
Water Pollution Control
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Summary:The related literature reveal that the papers on environmental pollution do not sufficiently analyse the cement production which is an important determinant of air pollution and health problems by using econometric methods. To fill this gap, this paper aims to examine the relationship between cement production, air pollution, mortality rate, and economic growth by employing MS Bayesian Vector Autoregressive (MScBVAR) and Markov Switching Bayesian Granger causality (MScBGC) approaches from 1960 to 2017 for China, Brazil, India, Turkey and the USA. MSIA(2)-BVAR(1) model for China, MSIAH(2)-BVAR(3) models for India, MSIAH(3)-BVAR(2) for Brazil, and MSIAH(3)-BVAR(1) for Turkey, and MSIAH(2)-BVAR(2) for the USA were selected. The MScBGC results revealed that the cement production is granger cause of mortality rate, air pollution, and economic growth in all regimes for China, India, Brazil, Turkey, and the USA.
ISSN:0944-1344
1614-7499
DOI:10.1007/s11356-019-06586-w