Estimation of body weight in hair ewes using an indirect measurement method

• Published in: Tropical animal health and production 2020-09, Vol.52 (5), p.2341-2347
• Main Authors: Canul-Solis, Jorge, Angeles-Hernandez, Juan Carlos, García-Herrera, Ricardo A., del Razo-Rodríguez, Oscar Enrique, Lee Rangel, Héctor A., Piñeiro-Vazquez, Angel T., Casanova-Lugo, Fernando, Rosales Nieto, Cesar A., Chay-Canul, Alfonso J.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Accuracy; Algorithms; Animals; Biomedical and Life Sciences; Body Weight; Commercial farms; Correlation analysis; Correlation coefficient; Correlation coefficients; Farms; Female; Goodness of fit; Life Sciences; Linear Models; Mathematical models; Models, Biological; Predictions; Random errors; Regression analysis; Regular Articles; Reproducibility of Results; Sheep - physiology; Veterinary Medicine/Veterinary Science; Zoology
• ISSN: 0049-4747; 1573-7438
• DOI: 10.1007/s11250-020-02232-7

The aim of the present study was to develop and evaluate an equation to predict body weight (BW) using hip width (HW) in Pelibuey ewe lambs and ewes. Five hundred seventy-seven 2-month-old to 3-year-old, non-pregnant, non-lactating, clinically healthy ewe lambs and adult ewes with a mean BW of 34.7 ± 12.4 kg and HW of 15.6 ± 3.4 cm were considered. Three equations were evaluated: BW (kg): − 19.17 + 3.46 × HW (Eq. 1), BW (kg): − 17.79 + 3.25 × HW + 0.007 × HW 2 (Eq. 2) and BW (kg): 0.39 × HW 1.63 (Eq. 3). Independent data from 80 animals with similar characteristics (BW of 23.4 ± 10.9 kg and HW of 12 ± 3.1 cm) were also considered to evaluate the developed equations. The evaluation was based on the relationship between the observed and predicted values of BW analysed using a linear regression, the mean squared error of prediction (MSEP), the root MSEP (RMSEP) and the concordance correlation coefficients (CCCs). Additionally, cross-validation analyses were performed using the k -folds validation ( k  = 10) procedure. The correlation coefficient ( r ) between BW and HW was 0.94 ( P   0.95%), accuracy (Cb > 0.98) and reproducibility (CCC > 0.96) in predicting the BW of ewe lambs and adult ewes. Equation (1) accurately predicted observed BW, with a bias (observed − predicted) of 4.3 kg and RMSEP of 9.68% with respect to the observed BW (random error of 84.23%); it also generated the best prediction according to the residual mean squared prediction error, coefficient of determination and mean absolute error. In conclusion, the highly correlated relationship between BW and HW in Pelibuey ewe lambs and adult ewes under humid tropic conditions enabled the development of mathematical models herein to estimate BW with an adequate goodness of fit. The linear model showed the best performance according to the goodness-of-fit evaluation and internal and external validation; hence, this model is proposed for use in both the experimental and commercial farms.