The spatial modification of the non-linear effects of ambient oxides of nitrogen during pregnancy on birthweight in a South African birth cohort

• Published in: Environmental research 2020-04, Vol.183, p.109239-109239, Article 109239
• Main Authors: Mitku, Aweke A., Zewotir, Temesgen, North, Delia, Jeena, Prakash, Asharam, Kareshma, Muttoo, Sheena, Naidoo, Rajen N.
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Bayesian splines; Birth cohort; Birthweight; Gaussian distribution; Geoadditive model; Spatial effect
• ISSN: 0013-9351; 1096-0953
• DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2020.109239

Birthweight is strongly associated with infant mortality and is a major determinant of infant survival. Several factors such as maternal, environmental, clinical, and social factors influence birthweight, and these vary geographically, including across low, middle, and economically advanced countries. The aim of the study was to investigate the geographical modification of the effect of oxides of nitrogen exposure on birthweight adjusted for clinical and socio-demographic factors. Data for the study was obtained from the Mother and Child in the Environment birth cohort study in Durban, South Africa. Pregnant females were selected from public sector antenatal clinics in low socioeconomic neighborhoods. Land use regression models were used to determine household level antenatal exposure to oxides of nitrogen (NOx). Six hundred and seventy-seven births were analysed, using the geoadditive model with Gaussian distribution and identity link function. The newborns in the cohort had a mean birthweight of 3106.5 g (standard deviation (SD): 538.2 g and the maternal mean age was 26.1 years (SD: 5.7). A spatially modified NOx exposure-related effect on birthweight was found across two geographic regions in Durban. Prenatal exposure to NOx was also found to have a non-linear effect on the birthweight of infants. The study suggested that incorporating spatial variability is important to understand and design appropriate policies to reduce air pollution in order to prevent risks associated with birthweight. [Display omitted] •Annual prenatal nitrogen oxides exposure was characterised using land use regression techniques.•Generalized additive model is extended to geoadditive model by including spatial component.•A spatially modified NOx exposure-related effect on birthweight was found across two geographic regions in Durban.•Prenatal exposure to NOx was found to have a non-linear effect on the birthweight of infants.