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HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort

Background Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients. Methods To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did...

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Published in:Hepatology international 2020-12, Vol.14 (6), p.1023-1033
Main Authors: Tanaka, Yasuhito, Ogawa, Eiichi, Huang, Chung-Feng, Toyoda, Hidenori, Jun, Dae Won, Tseng, Cheng-Hao, Hsu, Yao-Chun, Enomoto, Masaru, Takahashi, Hirokazu, Furusyo, Norihiro, Yeh, Ming-Lun, Iio, Etsuko, Yasuda, Satoshi, Lam, Carla Pui-Mei, Lee, Dong Hyun, Haga, Hiroaki, Yoon, Eileen L., Ahn, Sang Bong, Wong, Grace, Nakamuta, Makoto, Nomura, Hideyuki, Tsai, Pei-Chien, Jung, Jang Han, Song, Do Seon, Dang, Hansen, Maeda, Mayumi, Henry, Linda, Cheung, Ramsey, Yuen, Man-Fung, Ueno, Yoshiyuki, Eguchi, Yuichiro, Tamori, Akihiro, Yu, Ming-Lung, Hayashi, Jun, Nguyen, Mindie H.
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cited_by cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-29c09080af5a1a5e5aaa884698b136d4b1b6dc38f71e9119fcab4cd89afbe0f33
cites cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-29c09080af5a1a5e5aaa884698b136d4b1b6dc38f71e9119fcab4cd89afbe0f33
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container_issue 6
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container_title Hepatology international
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creator Tanaka, Yasuhito
Ogawa, Eiichi
Huang, Chung-Feng
Toyoda, Hidenori
Jun, Dae Won
Tseng, Cheng-Hao
Hsu, Yao-Chun
Enomoto, Masaru
Takahashi, Hirokazu
Furusyo, Norihiro
Yeh, Ming-Lun
Iio, Etsuko
Yasuda, Satoshi
Lam, Carla Pui-Mei
Lee, Dong Hyun
Haga, Hiroaki
Yoon, Eileen L.
Ahn, Sang Bong
Wong, Grace
Nakamuta, Makoto
Nomura, Hideyuki
Tsai, Pei-Chien
Jung, Jang Han
Song, Do Seon
Dang, Hansen
Maeda, Mayumi
Henry, Linda
Cheung, Ramsey
Yuen, Man-Fung
Ueno, Yoshiyuki
Eguchi, Yuichiro
Tamori, Akihiro
Yu, Ming-Lung
Hayashi, Jun
Nguyen, Mindie H.
description Background Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients. Methods To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6 months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups. Results In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p  
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s12072-020-10105-2
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Methods To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6 months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups. Results In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p  &lt; 0.001). Achieving SVR was independently associated with decreased HCC risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.41, p  = 0.002). Next, we stratified the SVR cohort of 5646 patients to cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups. Among cirrhotic SVR patients, aged ≥ 60, having an albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI) of 2 or 3 (aHR: 2.5, p  &lt; 0.001), and baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL (aHR: 1.6, p  = 0.001) were associated with higher HCC risk, while among the non-cirrhotic SVR group, only baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL was significant (aHR: 4.26, p  = 0.005). Conclusions Achieving SVR decreases HCC risk; however, among East Asians, patients with elevated pretreatment AFP remained at risk. Pretreatment AFP, an easily obtained serum marker, may provide both prognostic and surveillance value for HCC in East Asian patients who obtained SVR.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1936-0533</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1936-0541</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s12072-020-10105-2</identifier><identifier>PMID: 33277685</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New Delhi: Springer India</publisher><subject>Albumins ; Asian people ; Bilirubin ; Cirrhosis ; Colorectal Surgery ; Consortia ; Hepatology ; Liver cancer ; Liver cirrhosis ; Medicine ; Medicine &amp; Public Health ; Original Article ; Risk analysis ; Risk factors ; Subgroups ; Surgery</subject><ispartof>Hepatology international, 2020-12, Vol.14 (6), p.1023-1033</ispartof><rights>Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver 2020</rights><rights>Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver 2020.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-29c09080af5a1a5e5aaa884698b136d4b1b6dc38f71e9119fcab4cd89afbe0f33</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-29c09080af5a1a5e5aaa884698b136d4b1b6dc38f71e9119fcab4cd89afbe0f33</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-6275-4989</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/33277685$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Tanaka, Yasuhito</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ogawa, Eiichi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Huang, Chung-Feng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Toyoda, Hidenori</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jun, Dae Won</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tseng, Cheng-Hao</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hsu, Yao-Chun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Enomoto, Masaru</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Takahashi, Hirokazu</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Furusyo, Norihiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yeh, Ming-Lun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Iio, Etsuko</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yasuda, Satoshi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lam, Carla Pui-Mei</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Lee, Dong Hyun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Haga, Hiroaki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yoon, Eileen L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ahn, Sang Bong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wong, Grace</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nakamuta, Makoto</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nomura, Hideyuki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tsai, Pei-Chien</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Jung, Jang Han</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Song, Do Seon</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dang, Hansen</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Maeda, Mayumi</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Henry, Linda</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Cheung, Ramsey</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yuen, Man-Fung</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ueno, Yoshiyuki</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Eguchi, Yuichiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tamori, Akihiro</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Yu, Ming-Lung</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Hayashi, Jun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nguyen, Mindie H.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>REAL-C Investigators</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>For the REAL-C Investigators</creatorcontrib><title>HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort</title><title>Hepatology international</title><addtitle>Hepatol Int</addtitle><addtitle>Hepatol Int</addtitle><description>Background Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients. Methods To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6 months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups. Results In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p  &lt; 0.001). Achieving SVR was independently associated with decreased HCC risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.41, p  = 0.002). Next, we stratified the SVR cohort of 5646 patients to cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups. Among cirrhotic SVR patients, aged ≥ 60, having an albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI) of 2 or 3 (aHR: 2.5, p  &lt; 0.001), and baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL (aHR: 1.6, p  = 0.001) were associated with higher HCC risk, while among the non-cirrhotic SVR group, only baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL was significant (aHR: 4.26, p  = 0.005). Conclusions Achieving SVR decreases HCC risk; however, among East Asians, patients with elevated pretreatment AFP remained at risk. Pretreatment AFP, an easily obtained serum marker, may provide both prognostic and surveillance value for HCC in East Asian patients who obtained SVR.</description><subject>Albumins</subject><subject>Asian people</subject><subject>Bilirubin</subject><subject>Cirrhosis</subject><subject>Colorectal Surgery</subject><subject>Consortia</subject><subject>Hepatology</subject><subject>Liver cancer</subject><subject>Liver cirrhosis</subject><subject>Medicine</subject><subject>Medicine &amp; Public Health</subject><subject>Original Article</subject><subject>Risk analysis</subject><subject>Risk factors</subject><subject>Subgroups</subject><subject>Surgery</subject><issn>1936-0533</issn><issn>1936-0541</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2020</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp9kMtOwzAQRS0EoqXwAyyQJTZsAh47thN2VSgPUQmJ19ZyErtNaZPiSYX4e1LKQ2LBakaaM3dGh5BDYKfAmD5D4EzziHEWAQMmI75F-pAKFTEZw_ZPL0SP7CHOGJNSgdolPSG41iqRfXJ7nWU0VPhClw220cPzPX2r2im9GA6RVjUdWWzpECtb4zn1VV1W9QSpD82CtlNH70fDcZTRopk2od0nO97O0R181QF5uhw9ZtfR-O7qJuvAQmjZRjwtWMoSZr20YKWT1tokiVWa5CBUGeeQq7IQidfgUoDUFzaPizJJrc8d80IMyMkmdxma15XD1iwqLNx8bmvXrNDwWGkFQie6Q4__oLNmFeruu47SmqtYwJriG6oIDWJw3ixDtbDh3QAza9Vmo9p0qs2nasO7paOv6FW-cOXPyrfbDhAbALtRPXHh9_Y_sR9OvIYR</recordid><startdate>20201201</startdate><enddate>20201201</enddate><creator>Tanaka, Yasuhito</creator><creator>Ogawa, Eiichi</creator><creator>Huang, Chung-Feng</creator><creator>Toyoda, Hidenori</creator><creator>Jun, Dae Won</creator><creator>Tseng, Cheng-Hao</creator><creator>Hsu, Yao-Chun</creator><creator>Enomoto, Masaru</creator><creator>Takahashi, Hirokazu</creator><creator>Furusyo, Norihiro</creator><creator>Yeh, Ming-Lun</creator><creator>Iio, Etsuko</creator><creator>Yasuda, Satoshi</creator><creator>Lam, Carla Pui-Mei</creator><creator>Lee, Dong Hyun</creator><creator>Haga, Hiroaki</creator><creator>Yoon, Eileen L.</creator><creator>Ahn, Sang Bong</creator><creator>Wong, Grace</creator><creator>Nakamuta, Makoto</creator><creator>Nomura, Hideyuki</creator><creator>Tsai, Pei-Chien</creator><creator>Jung, Jang Han</creator><creator>Song, Do Seon</creator><creator>Dang, Hansen</creator><creator>Maeda, Mayumi</creator><creator>Henry, Linda</creator><creator>Cheung, Ramsey</creator><creator>Yuen, Man-Fung</creator><creator>Ueno, Yoshiyuki</creator><creator>Eguchi, Yuichiro</creator><creator>Tamori, Akihiro</creator><creator>Yu, Ming-Lung</creator><creator>Hayashi, Jun</creator><creator>Nguyen, Mindie H.</creator><general>Springer India</general><general>Springer Nature B.V</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6275-4989</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20201201</creationdate><title>HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort</title><author>Tanaka, Yasuhito ; Ogawa, Eiichi ; Huang, Chung-Feng ; Toyoda, Hidenori ; Jun, Dae Won ; Tseng, Cheng-Hao ; Hsu, Yao-Chun ; Enomoto, Masaru ; Takahashi, Hirokazu ; Furusyo, Norihiro ; Yeh, Ming-Lun ; Iio, Etsuko ; Yasuda, Satoshi ; Lam, Carla Pui-Mei ; Lee, Dong Hyun ; Haga, Hiroaki ; Yoon, Eileen L. ; Ahn, Sang Bong ; Wong, Grace ; Nakamuta, Makoto ; Nomura, Hideyuki ; Tsai, Pei-Chien ; Jung, Jang Han ; Song, Do Seon ; Dang, Hansen ; Maeda, Mayumi ; Henry, Linda ; Cheung, Ramsey ; Yuen, Man-Fung ; Ueno, Yoshiyuki ; Eguchi, Yuichiro ; Tamori, Akihiro ; Yu, Ming-Lung ; Hayashi, Jun ; Nguyen, Mindie H.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c375t-29c09080af5a1a5e5aaa884698b136d4b1b6dc38f71e9119fcab4cd89afbe0f33</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2020</creationdate><topic>Albumins</topic><topic>Asian people</topic><topic>Bilirubin</topic><topic>Cirrhosis</topic><topic>Colorectal Surgery</topic><topic>Consortia</topic><topic>Hepatology</topic><topic>Liver cancer</topic><topic>Liver cirrhosis</topic><topic>Medicine</topic><topic>Medicine &amp; 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Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing &amp; Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Hepatology international</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Tanaka, Yasuhito</au><au>Ogawa, Eiichi</au><au>Huang, Chung-Feng</au><au>Toyoda, Hidenori</au><au>Jun, Dae Won</au><au>Tseng, Cheng-Hao</au><au>Hsu, Yao-Chun</au><au>Enomoto, Masaru</au><au>Takahashi, Hirokazu</au><au>Furusyo, Norihiro</au><au>Yeh, Ming-Lun</au><au>Iio, Etsuko</au><au>Yasuda, Satoshi</au><au>Lam, Carla Pui-Mei</au><au>Lee, Dong Hyun</au><au>Haga, Hiroaki</au><au>Yoon, Eileen L.</au><au>Ahn, Sang Bong</au><au>Wong, Grace</au><au>Nakamuta, Makoto</au><au>Nomura, Hideyuki</au><au>Tsai, Pei-Chien</au><au>Jung, Jang Han</au><au>Song, Do Seon</au><au>Dang, Hansen</au><au>Maeda, Mayumi</au><au>Henry, Linda</au><au>Cheung, Ramsey</au><au>Yuen, Man-Fung</au><au>Ueno, Yoshiyuki</au><au>Eguchi, Yuichiro</au><au>Tamori, Akihiro</au><au>Yu, Ming-Lung</au><au>Hayashi, Jun</au><au>Nguyen, Mindie H.</au><aucorp>REAL-C Investigators</aucorp><aucorp>For the REAL-C Investigators</aucorp><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort</atitle><jtitle>Hepatology international</jtitle><stitle>Hepatol Int</stitle><addtitle>Hepatol Int</addtitle><date>2020-12-01</date><risdate>2020</risdate><volume>14</volume><issue>6</issue><spage>1023</spage><epage>1033</epage><pages>1023-1033</pages><issn>1936-0533</issn><eissn>1936-0541</eissn><abstract>Background Despite HCV cure, patients remain at risk for HCC, but risk factor data for HCC following SVR are limited for Asian patients. Methods To address this gap, we analyzed 5814 patients (5646 SVR, 168 non-SVR) from the Real-World Evidence from the Asia Liver Consortium for HCV (REAL-C) who did not have HCC or a history of HCC at baseline (pre-DAA treatment) and did not develop HCC within 6 months of baseline. To assess the effect of SVR on HCC incidence, we used 1:4 propensity score matching [(PSM), age, sex, baseline cirrhosis, and baseline AFP] to balance the SVR and non-SVR groups. Results In the PSM cohort (160 non-SVR and 612 SVR), the HCC incidence rate per 100 person years was higher in the non-SVR compared to the SVR group (5.26 vs. 1.94, p  &lt; 0.001). Achieving SVR was independently associated with decreased HCC risk (adjusted HR [aHR]: 0.41, p  = 0.002). Next, we stratified the SVR cohort of 5646 patients to cirrhotic and noncirrhotic subgroups. Among cirrhotic SVR patients, aged ≥ 60, having an albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI) of 2 or 3 (aHR: 2.5, p  &lt; 0.001), and baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL (aHR: 1.6, p  = 0.001) were associated with higher HCC risk, while among the non-cirrhotic SVR group, only baseline AFP ≥ 10 ng/mL was significant (aHR: 4.26, p  = 0.005). Conclusions Achieving SVR decreases HCC risk; however, among East Asians, patients with elevated pretreatment AFP remained at risk. Pretreatment AFP, an easily obtained serum marker, may provide both prognostic and surveillance value for HCC in East Asian patients who obtained SVR.</abstract><cop>New Delhi</cop><pub>Springer India</pub><pmid>33277685</pmid><doi>10.1007/s12072-020-10105-2</doi><tpages>11</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6275-4989</orcidid></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 1936-0533
ispartof Hepatology international, 2020-12, Vol.14 (6), p.1023-1033
issn 1936-0533
1936-0541
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2467613787
source Springer Nature
subjects Albumins
Asian people
Bilirubin
Cirrhosis
Colorectal Surgery
Consortia
Hepatology
Liver cancer
Liver cirrhosis
Medicine
Medicine & Public Health
Original Article
Risk analysis
Risk factors
Subgroups
Surgery
title HCC risk post-SVR with DAAs in East Asians: findings from the REAL-C cohort
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