Using Exploratory Scenarios in Planning Practice: A Spectrum of Approaches

Problem, research strategy, and findings: Despite growing interest by practitioners in using exploratory scenarios within urban planning practice, there are few detailed guidelines for how to do this. Through the discussion of five case examples, we illustrate different approaches to linking explora...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of the American Planning Association 2020-10, Vol.86 (4), p.403-416
Main Authors: Avin, Uri, Goodspeed, Robert
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
case research
planning methods
reflective practice
scenario planning
uncertainty
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Summary:Problem, research strategy, and findings: Despite growing interest by practitioners in using exploratory scenarios within urban planning practice, there are few detailed guidelines for how to do this. Through the discussion of five case examples, we illustrate different approaches to linking exploratory scenarios to different planning contexts. We conclude by observing that to directly inform a plan, regardless of the specific approach taken, exploratory scenarios in urban planning must incorporate stakeholder values and not only rely on expert judgment and analysis. Takeaway for practice: Exploratory scenarios are effective for analyzing uncertainty within a planning process. However, exploratory scenarios can be incorporated into planning practice in different ways, ranging from workshops among experts that aim to cultivate general learning to complex projects that result in highly detailed scenarios and recommendations for plans. Practitioners can draw on the cases we present to inspire planning methods for particular projects, taking into account specific contexts and goals.
ISSN:0194-4363
1939-0130
DOI:10.1080/01944363.2020.1746688