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Predicting mortality in nonsurgical patients before cannulation for veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support: Development and validation of the LACT‐8 score

Objectives We sought to derive and validate a model to predict inpatient mortality after veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support (VA‐ECLS) based on readily available, precannulation clinical data. Background Refractory cardiogenic shock supported by VA‐ECLS is associated with high morbidity and mo...

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Published in:Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions 2022-03, Vol.99 (4), p.1115-1124
Main Authors: Hillerson, Dustin, Whiteside, Hoyle L., Dugan, Adam J., Coots, Riley D., Tribble, Thomas A., Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed, Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O., Duncan, Meredith S., Gupta, Vedant A.
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container_end_page 1124
container_issue 4
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container_title Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions
container_volume 99
creator Hillerson, Dustin
Whiteside, Hoyle L.
Dugan, Adam J.
Coots, Riley D.
Tribble, Thomas A.
Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed
Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O.
Duncan, Meredith S.
Gupta, Vedant A.
description Objectives We sought to derive and validate a model to predict inpatient mortality after veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support (VA‐ECLS) based on readily available, precannulation clinical data. Background Refractory cardiogenic shock supported by VA‐ECLS is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Methods VA‐ECLS cases at our institution from January 2014 through July 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Exclusion criteria were cannulation: (1) at another institution; (2) for primary surgical indication; or (3) for extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Multivariable logistic regression compared those with and without inpatient mortality. Multiple imputation was performed and optimism‐adjusted area under the curve (oAUC) values were computed. Results VA‐ECLS cases from August 2019 through November 2020 were identified as a validation cohort. In the derivation cohort (n = 135), the final model included Lactate (mmol/L), hemoglobin (g/dl; Anemia), Coma (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] 8) and hemoglobin (
doi_str_mv 10.1002/ccd.30106
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Background Refractory cardiogenic shock supported by VA‐ECLS is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Methods VA‐ECLS cases at our institution from January 2014 through July 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Exclusion criteria were cannulation: (1) at another institution; (2) for primary surgical indication; or (3) for extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Multivariable logistic regression compared those with and without inpatient mortality. Multiple imputation was performed and optimism‐adjusted area under the curve (oAUC) values were computed. Results VA‐ECLS cases from August 2019 through November 2020 were identified as a validation cohort. In the derivation cohort (n = 135), the final model included Lactate (mmol/L), hemoglobin (g/dl; Anemia), Coma (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] &lt; 8) and resusciTATEd cardiac arrest (LACTATE score; oAUC = 0.760). In the validation cohort (n = 30, LACTATE showed similar predictability [AUC = 0.710]). A simplified (LACT‐8) score was derived by dichotomizing lactate (&gt;8) and hemoglobin (&lt;8) and summing together the number of components for each patient. LACT‐8 performed similarly (derivation, oAUC = 0.724; validation, AUC = 0.725). In the derivation cohort, both scores outperformed SAVE (oAUC = 0.568) and SOFA (oAUC = 0.699) scores. A LACT‐8 ≥ 3 had a specificity for mortality of 97.9% and 92.9%, in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Conclusions The LACT‐8 score can predict inpatient mortality prior to before cannulation for VA‐ECLS. LACT‐8 can be implemented utilizing clinical data without the need for an online calculator.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1522-1946</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1522-726X</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/ccd.30106</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35114052</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</publisher><subject>Cannulation ; cardiogenic shock ; Catheterization ; Coma ; Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation ; Hemoglobin ; Hospital Mortality ; Humans ; Lactic Acid ; mechanical circulatory support ; Morbidity ; Mortality ; outcome ; Patients ; Retrospective Studies ; Shock, Cardiogenic - diagnosis ; Shock, Cardiogenic - therapy ; Treatment Outcome</subject><ispartof>Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions, 2022-03, Vol.99 (4), p.1115-1124</ispartof><rights>2022 Wiley Periodicals LLC</rights><rights>2022 Wiley Periodicals LLC.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c3136-db3df01b2ab325e84f65a8bdec0680b625d8d6bf5dfcebb3b1a9685e9868568b3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-9962-8855</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35114052$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Hillerson, Dustin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Whiteside, Hoyle L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dugan, Adam J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Coots, Riley D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tribble, Thomas A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Duncan, Meredith S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Vedant A.</creatorcontrib><title>Predicting mortality in nonsurgical patients before cannulation for veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support: Development and validation of the LACT‐8 score</title><title>Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions</title><addtitle>Catheter Cardiovasc Interv</addtitle><description>Objectives We sought to derive and validate a model to predict inpatient mortality after veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support (VA‐ECLS) based on readily available, precannulation clinical data. Background Refractory cardiogenic shock supported by VA‐ECLS is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Methods VA‐ECLS cases at our institution from January 2014 through July 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Exclusion criteria were cannulation: (1) at another institution; (2) for primary surgical indication; or (3) for extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Multivariable logistic regression compared those with and without inpatient mortality. Multiple imputation was performed and optimism‐adjusted area under the curve (oAUC) values were computed. Results VA‐ECLS cases from August 2019 through November 2020 were identified as a validation cohort. In the derivation cohort (n = 135), the final model included Lactate (mmol/L), hemoglobin (g/dl; Anemia), Coma (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] &lt; 8) and resusciTATEd cardiac arrest (LACTATE score; oAUC = 0.760). In the validation cohort (n = 30, LACTATE showed similar predictability [AUC = 0.710]). A simplified (LACT‐8) score was derived by dichotomizing lactate (&gt;8) and hemoglobin (&lt;8) and summing together the number of components for each patient. LACT‐8 performed similarly (derivation, oAUC = 0.724; validation, AUC = 0.725). In the derivation cohort, both scores outperformed SAVE (oAUC = 0.568) and SOFA (oAUC = 0.699) scores. A LACT‐8 ≥ 3 had a specificity for mortality of 97.9% and 92.9%, in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Conclusions The LACT‐8 score can predict inpatient mortality prior to before cannulation for VA‐ECLS. LACT‐8 can be implemented utilizing clinical data without the need for an online calculator.</description><subject>Cannulation</subject><subject>cardiogenic shock</subject><subject>Catheterization</subject><subject>Coma</subject><subject>Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation</subject><subject>Hemoglobin</subject><subject>Hospital Mortality</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Lactic Acid</subject><subject>mechanical circulatory support</subject><subject>Morbidity</subject><subject>Mortality</subject><subject>outcome</subject><subject>Patients</subject><subject>Retrospective Studies</subject><subject>Shock, Cardiogenic - diagnosis</subject><subject>Shock, Cardiogenic - therapy</subject><subject>Treatment Outcome</subject><issn>1522-1946</issn><issn>1522-726X</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kUtuFDEQhlsIREJgwQWQJTZkMYkfY6ebXdQJD2kkWASJXcuPcnDkthvbPTA7jsAREEfhKJwEhx5YILGxXaXPX5X0N81jgk8IxvRUa3PCMMHiTnNIOKWrMyre392_SbcWB82DnG8wxp2g3f3mgHFC1pjTw-b72wTG6eLCNRpjKtK7skMuoBBDntO109KjSRYHoWSkwMYEP75pGcLsazcGVDtoCyH-_PJVpgLJ1Q_wuSSpY5oqXUvvLKA8T7Usz9EFbMHHaaxGJINB2zrTLK5oUfkAaHPeX1Vdi3J1wMPmnpU-w6P9fdS8e3F51b9abd68fN2fb1aaESZWRjFjMVFUKkY5tGsruGyVAY1Fi5Wg3LRGKMuN1aAUU0R2ouXQtfUUrWJHzbPFO6X4cYZchtFlDd7LAHHOAxVUYLxmDFf06T_oTZxTqNtVilNOzji-pY4XSqeYcwI7TMmNMu0Ggofb4IYa3PA7uMo-2RtnNYL5S_5JqgKnC_DJedj93zT0_cWi_AUjz6hD</recordid><startdate>20220301</startdate><enddate>20220301</enddate><creator>Hillerson, Dustin</creator><creator>Whiteside, Hoyle L.</creator><creator>Dugan, Adam J.</creator><creator>Coots, Riley D.</creator><creator>Tribble, Thomas A.</creator><creator>Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed</creator><creator>Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O.</creator><creator>Duncan, Meredith S.</creator><creator>Gupta, Vedant A.</creator><general>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</general><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7T5</scope><scope>7U9</scope><scope>H94</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>7X8</scope><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9962-8855</orcidid></search><sort><creationdate>20220301</creationdate><title>Predicting mortality in nonsurgical patients before cannulation for veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support: Development and validation of the LACT‐8 score</title><author>Hillerson, Dustin ; Whiteside, Hoyle L. ; Dugan, Adam J. ; Coots, Riley D. ; Tribble, Thomas A. ; Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed ; Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O. ; Duncan, Meredith S. ; Gupta, Vedant A.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c3136-db3df01b2ab325e84f65a8bdec0680b625d8d6bf5dfcebb3b1a9685e9868568b3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2022</creationdate><topic>Cannulation</topic><topic>cardiogenic shock</topic><topic>Catheterization</topic><topic>Coma</topic><topic>Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation</topic><topic>Hemoglobin</topic><topic>Hospital Mortality</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Lactic Acid</topic><topic>mechanical circulatory support</topic><topic>Morbidity</topic><topic>Mortality</topic><topic>outcome</topic><topic>Patients</topic><topic>Retrospective Studies</topic><topic>Shock, Cardiogenic - diagnosis</topic><topic>Shock, Cardiogenic - therapy</topic><topic>Treatment Outcome</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Hillerson, Dustin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Whiteside, Hoyle L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Dugan, Adam J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Coots, Riley D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tribble, Thomas A.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Duncan, Meredith S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gupta, Vedant A.</creatorcontrib><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Immunology Abstracts</collection><collection>Virology and AIDS Abstracts</collection><collection>AIDS and Cancer Research Abstracts</collection><collection>ProQuest Health &amp; Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Hillerson, Dustin</au><au>Whiteside, Hoyle L.</au><au>Dugan, Adam J.</au><au>Coots, Riley D.</au><au>Tribble, Thomas A.</au><au>Abdel‐Latif, Ahmed</au><au>Ogunbayo, Gbolahan O.</au><au>Duncan, Meredith S.</au><au>Gupta, Vedant A.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Predicting mortality in nonsurgical patients before cannulation for veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support: Development and validation of the LACT‐8 score</atitle><jtitle>Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions</jtitle><addtitle>Catheter Cardiovasc Interv</addtitle><date>2022-03-01</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>99</volume><issue>4</issue><spage>1115</spage><epage>1124</epage><pages>1115-1124</pages><issn>1522-1946</issn><eissn>1522-726X</eissn><abstract>Objectives We sought to derive and validate a model to predict inpatient mortality after veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support (VA‐ECLS) based on readily available, precannulation clinical data. Background Refractory cardiogenic shock supported by VA‐ECLS is associated with high morbidity and mortality. Methods VA‐ECLS cases at our institution from January 2014 through July 2019 were retrospectively reviewed. Exclusion criteria were cannulation: (1) at another institution; (2) for primary surgical indication; or (3) for extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation. Multivariable logistic regression compared those with and without inpatient mortality. Multiple imputation was performed and optimism‐adjusted area under the curve (oAUC) values were computed. Results VA‐ECLS cases from August 2019 through November 2020 were identified as a validation cohort. In the derivation cohort (n = 135), the final model included Lactate (mmol/L), hemoglobin (g/dl; Anemia), Coma (Glasgow Coma Scale [GCS] &lt; 8) and resusciTATEd cardiac arrest (LACTATE score; oAUC = 0.760). In the validation cohort (n = 30, LACTATE showed similar predictability [AUC = 0.710]). A simplified (LACT‐8) score was derived by dichotomizing lactate (&gt;8) and hemoglobin (&lt;8) and summing together the number of components for each patient. LACT‐8 performed similarly (derivation, oAUC = 0.724; validation, AUC = 0.725). In the derivation cohort, both scores outperformed SAVE (oAUC = 0.568) and SOFA (oAUC = 0.699) scores. A LACT‐8 ≥ 3 had a specificity for mortality of 97.9% and 92.9%, in the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Conclusions The LACT‐8 score can predict inpatient mortality prior to before cannulation for VA‐ECLS. LACT‐8 can be implemented utilizing clinical data without the need for an online calculator.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>Wiley Subscription Services, Inc</pub><pmid>35114052</pmid><doi>10.1002/ccd.30106</doi><tpages>10</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9962-8855</orcidid></addata></record>
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identifier ISSN: 1522-1946
ispartof Catheterization and cardiovascular interventions, 2022-03, Vol.99 (4), p.1115-1124
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1522-726X
language eng
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source Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection
subjects Cannulation
cardiogenic shock
Catheterization
Coma
Extracorporeal membrane oxygenation
Hemoglobin
Hospital Mortality
Humans
Lactic Acid
mechanical circulatory support
Morbidity
Mortality
outcome
Patients
Retrospective Studies
Shock, Cardiogenic - diagnosis
Shock, Cardiogenic - therapy
Treatment Outcome
title Predicting mortality in nonsurgical patients before cannulation for veno‐arterial extracorporeal life support: Development and validation of the LACT‐8 score
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