Loading…
Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate?
Mountain headwater streams have emerged as important climate refuges for native cold‐water species due to their slow climate velocities and extreme physical conditions that inhibit non‐native invasions. Species persisting in refuges often do so as fragmented, relict populations from broader historic...
Saved in:
| Published in: | Ecological applications 2022-07, Vol.32 (5), p.e2594-n/a |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | , , , , , |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Subjects: | |
| Citations: | Items that this one cites Items that cite this one |
| Online Access: | Get full text |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| cited_by | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593 |
|---|---|
| cites | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593 |
| container_end_page | n/a |
| container_issue | 5 |
| container_start_page | e2594 |
| container_title | Ecological applications |
| container_volume | 32 |
| creator | Isaak, Daniel J. Young, Michael K. Horan, Dona L. Nagel, David Schwartz, Michael K. McKelvey, Kevin S. |
| description | Mountain headwater streams have emerged as important climate refuges for native cold‐water species due to their slow climate velocities and extreme physical conditions that inhibit non‐native invasions. Species persisting in refuges often do so as fragmented, relict populations from broader historical distributions that are subject to ongoing habitat reductions and increasing isolation as climate change progresses. Key for conservation planning is determining where remaining populations will persist and how habitat restoration strategies can improve biological resilience to enhance the long‐term prospects for species of concern. Studying bull trout, a headwater species in the northwestern USA, we developed habitat occupancy models using a data set of population occurrence in 991 natal habitat patches with a suite of novel geospatial covariates derived from high‐resolution hydroclimatic scenarios and other sources representing watershed and instream habitat conditions, patch geometry, disturbance, and biological interactions. The best model correctly predicted bull trout occupancy status in 82.6% of the patches and included effects for: patch size estimated as habitat volume, extent of within‐patch reaches |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1002/eap.2594 |
| format | article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2644362318</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>2644362318</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp1kMtKxTAQhoMo3sEnkIAbN9UkTXpZiXgHQRe6LtN0qj2kTU1SDr69OZ7jBcHZzDB8fMz8hBxwdsIZE6cI44lQpVwj27xMy0SpQqzHmSmesDzjW2TH-xmLJYTYJFupSmXKuNoms0tLewww2nEyEDo7eApDQ3sY4AV7HEIcQ0BHW-uoQ9PpQF8RmjkslvVkDA3OToH-NnQDBToH13fDC9Wmiwo82yMbLRiP-6u-S56vr54ubpP7h5u7i_P7RIu8lEkGaV1wbHLFdMMVZBJEnpWy5LJoi7bWKsemhHh9LXPRZAWCVFrVTGSaa1Wmu-R46R2dfZvQh6rvvEZjYEA7-UpkUqaZSHkR0aM_6MxObojXRaqQgnMl5I9QO-u9w7YaXXzJvVecVYv8q5h_tcg_oocr4VT32HyDX4FHIFkC887g-7-i6ur88VP4AaMhjqI</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>2684211524</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate?</title><source>Wiley</source><creator>Isaak, Daniel J. ; Young, Michael K. ; Horan, Dona L. ; Nagel, David ; Schwartz, Michael K. ; McKelvey, Kevin S.</creator><creatorcontrib>Isaak, Daniel J. ; Young, Michael K. ; Horan, Dona L. ; Nagel, David ; Schwartz, Michael K. ; McKelvey, Kevin S.</creatorcontrib><description>Mountain headwater streams have emerged as important climate refuges for native cold‐water species due to their slow climate velocities and extreme physical conditions that inhibit non‐native invasions. Species persisting in refuges often do so as fragmented, relict populations from broader historical distributions that are subject to ongoing habitat reductions and increasing isolation as climate change progresses. Key for conservation planning is determining where remaining populations will persist and how habitat restoration strategies can improve biological resilience to enhance the long‐term prospects for species of concern. Studying bull trout, a headwater species in the northwestern USA, we developed habitat occupancy models using a data set of population occurrence in 991 natal habitat patches with a suite of novel geospatial covariates derived from high‐resolution hydroclimatic scenarios and other sources representing watershed and instream habitat conditions, patch geometry, disturbance, and biological interactions. The best model correctly predicted bull trout occupancy status in 82.6% of the patches and included effects for: patch size estimated as habitat volume, extent of within‐patch reaches <9°C mean August temperature, distance to nearest occupied patch, road density, invasive brook trout prevalence, patch slope, and frequency of high winter flows. The model was used to assess 16 scenarios of bull trout occurrence within the study streams that represented a range of restoration strategies under three climatic conditions (baseline, moderate change, and extreme change). Results suggested that regional improvements in bull trout status were difficult to achieve in realistic restoration strategies due to the pervasive nature of climate change and the limited extent of restoration actions given their high costs. However, occurrence probabilities in a subset of patches were highly responsive to restoration actions, suggesting that targeted investments to improve the resilience of some populations may be contextually beneficial. A possible strategy, therefore, is focusing effort on responsive populations near more robust population strongholds, thereby contributing to local enclaves where dispersal among populations further enhances resilience. Equally important, strongholds constituted a small numerical percentage of patches (5%–21%), yet encompassed the large majority of occupied habitat by volume (72%–89%) and their protection could have significant conservation benefits for bull trout.</description><identifier>ISSN: 1051-0761</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1939-5582</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/eap.2594</identifier><identifier>PMID: 35343015</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Hoboken, USA: John Wiley & Sons, Inc</publisher><subject>Biological models (mathematics) ; bull trout ; Climate change ; Climatic conditions ; connectivity ; Conservation ; Dispersal ; Environmental restoration ; Extreme values ; Fish populations ; Habitats ; Indigenous species ; Invasive species ; metapopulation ; Metapopulations ; Mountains ; patch occupancy model ; Populations ; refugia ; Resilience ; Restoration strategies ; Robustness (mathematics) ; Salvelinus confluentus ; Salvelinus fontinalis ; Streams ; Trout</subject><ispartof>Ecological applications, 2022-07, Vol.32 (5), p.e2594-n/a</ispartof><rights>Published 2022. This article is a U.S. Government work and is in the public domain in the USA.</rights><rights>Copyright Ecological Society of America Jul 2022</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35343015$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Isaak, Daniel J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Young, Michael K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horan, Dona L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nagel, David</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schwartz, Michael K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McKelvey, Kevin S.</creatorcontrib><title>Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate?</title><title>Ecological applications</title><addtitle>Ecol Appl</addtitle><description>Mountain headwater streams have emerged as important climate refuges for native cold‐water species due to their slow climate velocities and extreme physical conditions that inhibit non‐native invasions. Species persisting in refuges often do so as fragmented, relict populations from broader historical distributions that are subject to ongoing habitat reductions and increasing isolation as climate change progresses. Key for conservation planning is determining where remaining populations will persist and how habitat restoration strategies can improve biological resilience to enhance the long‐term prospects for species of concern. Studying bull trout, a headwater species in the northwestern USA, we developed habitat occupancy models using a data set of population occurrence in 991 natal habitat patches with a suite of novel geospatial covariates derived from high‐resolution hydroclimatic scenarios and other sources representing watershed and instream habitat conditions, patch geometry, disturbance, and biological interactions. The best model correctly predicted bull trout occupancy status in 82.6% of the patches and included effects for: patch size estimated as habitat volume, extent of within‐patch reaches <9°C mean August temperature, distance to nearest occupied patch, road density, invasive brook trout prevalence, patch slope, and frequency of high winter flows. The model was used to assess 16 scenarios of bull trout occurrence within the study streams that represented a range of restoration strategies under three climatic conditions (baseline, moderate change, and extreme change). Results suggested that regional improvements in bull trout status were difficult to achieve in realistic restoration strategies due to the pervasive nature of climate change and the limited extent of restoration actions given their high costs. However, occurrence probabilities in a subset of patches were highly responsive to restoration actions, suggesting that targeted investments to improve the resilience of some populations may be contextually beneficial. A possible strategy, therefore, is focusing effort on responsive populations near more robust population strongholds, thereby contributing to local enclaves where dispersal among populations further enhances resilience. Equally important, strongholds constituted a small numerical percentage of patches (5%–21%), yet encompassed the large majority of occupied habitat by volume (72%–89%) and their protection could have significant conservation benefits for bull trout.</description><subject>Biological models (mathematics)</subject><subject>bull trout</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Climatic conditions</subject><subject>connectivity</subject><subject>Conservation</subject><subject>Dispersal</subject><subject>Environmental restoration</subject><subject>Extreme values</subject><subject>Fish populations</subject><subject>Habitats</subject><subject>Indigenous species</subject><subject>Invasive species</subject><subject>metapopulation</subject><subject>Metapopulations</subject><subject>Mountains</subject><subject>patch occupancy model</subject><subject>Populations</subject><subject>refugia</subject><subject>Resilience</subject><subject>Restoration strategies</subject><subject>Robustness (mathematics)</subject><subject>Salvelinus confluentus</subject><subject>Salvelinus fontinalis</subject><subject>Streams</subject><subject>Trout</subject><issn>1051-0761</issn><issn>1939-5582</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2022</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><recordid>eNp1kMtKxTAQhoMo3sEnkIAbN9UkTXpZiXgHQRe6LtN0qj2kTU1SDr69OZ7jBcHZzDB8fMz8hBxwdsIZE6cI44lQpVwj27xMy0SpQqzHmSmesDzjW2TH-xmLJYTYJFupSmXKuNoms0tLewww2nEyEDo7eApDQ3sY4AV7HEIcQ0BHW-uoQ9PpQF8RmjkslvVkDA3OToH-NnQDBToH13fDC9Wmiwo82yMbLRiP-6u-S56vr54ubpP7h5u7i_P7RIu8lEkGaV1wbHLFdMMVZBJEnpWy5LJoi7bWKsemhHh9LXPRZAWCVFrVTGSaa1Wmu-R46R2dfZvQh6rvvEZjYEA7-UpkUqaZSHkR0aM_6MxObojXRaqQgnMl5I9QO-u9w7YaXXzJvVecVYv8q5h_tcg_oocr4VT32HyDX4FHIFkC887g-7-i6ur88VP4AaMhjqI</recordid><startdate>202207</startdate><enddate>202207</enddate><creator>Isaak, Daniel J.</creator><creator>Young, Michael K.</creator><creator>Horan, Dona L.</creator><creator>Nagel, David</creator><creator>Schwartz, Michael K.</creator><creator>McKelvey, Kevin S.</creator><general>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</general><general>Ecological Society of America</general><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7SN</scope><scope>7SS</scope><scope>7ST</scope><scope>7U7</scope><scope>8FD</scope><scope>C1K</scope><scope>FR3</scope><scope>M7N</scope><scope>P64</scope><scope>RC3</scope><scope>SOI</scope><scope>7X8</scope></search><sort><creationdate>202207</creationdate><title>Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate?</title><author>Isaak, Daniel J. ; Young, Michael K. ; Horan, Dona L. ; Nagel, David ; Schwartz, Michael K. ; McKelvey, Kevin S.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2022</creationdate><topic>Biological models (mathematics)</topic><topic>bull trout</topic><topic>Climate change</topic><topic>Climatic conditions</topic><topic>connectivity</topic><topic>Conservation</topic><topic>Dispersal</topic><topic>Environmental restoration</topic><topic>Extreme values</topic><topic>Fish populations</topic><topic>Habitats</topic><topic>Indigenous species</topic><topic>Invasive species</topic><topic>metapopulation</topic><topic>Metapopulations</topic><topic>Mountains</topic><topic>patch occupancy model</topic><topic>Populations</topic><topic>refugia</topic><topic>Resilience</topic><topic>Restoration strategies</topic><topic>Robustness (mathematics)</topic><topic>Salvelinus confluentus</topic><topic>Salvelinus fontinalis</topic><topic>Streams</topic><topic>Trout</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Isaak, Daniel J.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Young, Michael K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Horan, Dona L.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Nagel, David</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Schwartz, Michael K.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>McKelvey, Kevin S.</creatorcontrib><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Animal Behavior Abstracts</collection><collection>Ecology Abstracts</collection><collection>Entomology Abstracts (Full archive)</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>Toxicology Abstracts</collection><collection>Technology Research Database</collection><collection>Environmental Sciences and Pollution Management</collection><collection>Engineering Research Database</collection><collection>Algology Mycology and Protozoology Abstracts (Microbiology C)</collection><collection>Biotechnology and BioEngineering Abstracts</collection><collection>Genetics Abstracts</collection><collection>Environment Abstracts</collection><collection>MEDLINE - Academic</collection><jtitle>Ecological applications</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Isaak, Daniel J.</au><au>Young, Michael K.</au><au>Horan, Dona L.</au><au>Nagel, David</au><au>Schwartz, Michael K.</au><au>McKelvey, Kevin S.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate?</atitle><jtitle>Ecological applications</jtitle><addtitle>Ecol Appl</addtitle><date>2022-07</date><risdate>2022</risdate><volume>32</volume><issue>5</issue><spage>e2594</spage><epage>n/a</epage><pages>e2594-n/a</pages><issn>1051-0761</issn><eissn>1939-5582</eissn><abstract>Mountain headwater streams have emerged as important climate refuges for native cold‐water species due to their slow climate velocities and extreme physical conditions that inhibit non‐native invasions. Species persisting in refuges often do so as fragmented, relict populations from broader historical distributions that are subject to ongoing habitat reductions and increasing isolation as climate change progresses. Key for conservation planning is determining where remaining populations will persist and how habitat restoration strategies can improve biological resilience to enhance the long‐term prospects for species of concern. Studying bull trout, a headwater species in the northwestern USA, we developed habitat occupancy models using a data set of population occurrence in 991 natal habitat patches with a suite of novel geospatial covariates derived from high‐resolution hydroclimatic scenarios and other sources representing watershed and instream habitat conditions, patch geometry, disturbance, and biological interactions. The best model correctly predicted bull trout occupancy status in 82.6% of the patches and included effects for: patch size estimated as habitat volume, extent of within‐patch reaches <9°C mean August temperature, distance to nearest occupied patch, road density, invasive brook trout prevalence, patch slope, and frequency of high winter flows. The model was used to assess 16 scenarios of bull trout occurrence within the study streams that represented a range of restoration strategies under three climatic conditions (baseline, moderate change, and extreme change). Results suggested that regional improvements in bull trout status were difficult to achieve in realistic restoration strategies due to the pervasive nature of climate change and the limited extent of restoration actions given their high costs. However, occurrence probabilities in a subset of patches were highly responsive to restoration actions, suggesting that targeted investments to improve the resilience of some populations may be contextually beneficial. A possible strategy, therefore, is focusing effort on responsive populations near more robust population strongholds, thereby contributing to local enclaves where dispersal among populations further enhances resilience. Equally important, strongholds constituted a small numerical percentage of patches (5%–21%), yet encompassed the large majority of occupied habitat by volume (72%–89%) and their protection could have significant conservation benefits for bull trout.</abstract><cop>Hoboken, USA</cop><pub>John Wiley & Sons, Inc</pub><pmid>35343015</pmid><doi>10.1002/eap.2594</doi><tpages>26</tpages></addata></record> |
| fulltext | fulltext |
| identifier | ISSN: 1051-0761 |
| ispartof | Ecological applications, 2022-07, Vol.32 (5), p.e2594-n/a |
| issn | 1051-0761 1939-5582 |
| language | eng |
| recordid | cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_2644362318 |
| source | Wiley |
| subjects | Biological models (mathematics) bull trout Climate change Climatic conditions connectivity Conservation Dispersal Environmental restoration Extreme values Fish populations Habitats Indigenous species Invasive species metapopulation Metapopulations Mountains patch occupancy model Populations refugia Resilience Restoration strategies Robustness (mathematics) Salvelinus confluentus Salvelinus fontinalis Streams Trout |
| title | Do metapopulations and management matter for relict headwater bull trout populations in a warming climate? |
| url | http://sfxeu10.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/loughborough?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-28T11%3A17%3A07IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Do%20metapopulations%20and%20management%20matter%20for%20relict%20headwater%20bull%20trout%20populations%20in%20a%20warming%20climate?&rft.jtitle=Ecological%20applications&rft.au=Isaak,%20Daniel%20J.&rft.date=2022-07&rft.volume=32&rft.issue=5&rft.spage=e2594&rft.epage=n/a&rft.pages=e2594-n/a&rft.issn=1051-0761&rft.eissn=1939-5582&rft_id=info:doi/10.1002/eap.2594&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E2644362318%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Cgrp_id%3Ecdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c2794-6a3b81ed750cd15a64a276949148f8fbc57ed9a015b472d68ea45c5b026c1c593%3C/grp_id%3E%3Coa%3E%3C/oa%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=2684211524&rft_id=info:pmid/35343015&rfr_iscdi=true |