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Arctic and red fox population responses to climate and cryosphere changes at the Arctic’s edge

Responses of one species to climate change may influence the population dynamics of others, particularly in the Arctic where food webs are strongly linked. Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic ( Vulpes lagopus ) and red fox ( V. vulpes...

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Published in:Oecologia 2023-07, Vol.202 (3), p.589-599
Main Authors: Verstege, Jacqueline S., Johnson-Bice, Sean M., Roth, James D.
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description Responses of one species to climate change may influence the population dynamics of others, particularly in the Arctic where food webs are strongly linked. Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic ( Vulpes lagopus ) and red fox ( V. vulpes ) population dynamics near the southern edge of the Arctic fox distribution using fur harvest records from Churchill, Manitoba, Canada between 1955 and 2012. Arctic foxes showed a declining population trend over time (inferred from harvest records corrected for trapping effort), whereas the red fox population trend was relatively stable. The positive relationship between the annual Arctic and red fox harvests suggested interspecific competition did not promote the Arctic fox decline. To investigate alternative mechanisms, we evaluated the relative influence of sea-ice phenology, snow depth, snow duration, winter thaws, and summer temperature on the harvest dynamics of both species in the most recent 32 years (1980–2012; n  = 29) of our data. Arctic fox harvests were negatively related to the length of time Hudson Bay was free of sea ice. Shorter sea ice duration may reduce access to seal carrion as an alternative winter food source when lemming densities decline. Contrary to our prediction, red fox harvest was not related to summer temperature but was positively related to snow depth, suggesting winter prey availability may limit red fox population growth. Predators have an important ecological role, so understanding the influence of changes in the cryosphere on predator–prey interactions may better illuminate the broader influence of climate change on food-web dynamics.
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subjects Arctic fox
Availability
Biomedical and Life Sciences
Carrion
Climate change
Cryosphere
Dynamics
Ecological effects
Ecology
Food chains
Food sources
Food webs
Foxes
Global temperature changes
Hydrology/Water Resources
Ice
Life Sciences
Original Research
Plant Sciences
Population biology
Population decline
Population dynamics
Population growth
Predation
Predator prey relations
Predator-prey interactions
Predators
Prey
Records
Sea ice
Snow
Snow depth
Summer
Temperature
Winter
title Arctic and red fox population responses to climate and cryosphere changes at the Arctic’s edge
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