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Arctic and red fox population responses to climate and cryosphere changes at the Arctic’s edge
Responses of one species to climate change may influence the population dynamics of others, particularly in the Arctic where food webs are strongly linked. Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic ( Vulpes lagopus ) and red fox ( V. vulpes...
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Published in: | Oecologia 2023-07, Vol.202 (3), p.589-599 |
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description | Responses of one species to climate change may influence the population dynamics of others, particularly in the Arctic where food webs are strongly linked. Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic (
Vulpes lagopus
) and red fox (
V. vulpes
) population dynamics near the southern edge of the Arctic fox distribution using fur harvest records from Churchill, Manitoba, Canada between 1955 and 2012. Arctic foxes showed a declining population trend over time (inferred from harvest records corrected for trapping effort), whereas the red fox population trend was relatively stable. The positive relationship between the annual Arctic and red fox harvests suggested interspecific competition did not promote the Arctic fox decline. To investigate alternative mechanisms, we evaluated the relative influence of sea-ice phenology, snow depth, snow duration, winter thaws, and summer temperature on the harvest dynamics of both species in the most recent 32 years (1980–2012;
n
= 29) of our data. Arctic fox harvests were negatively related to the length of time Hudson Bay was free of sea ice. Shorter sea ice duration may reduce access to seal carrion as an alternative winter food source when lemming densities decline. Contrary to our prediction, red fox harvest was not related to summer temperature but was positively related to snow depth, suggesting winter prey availability may limit red fox population growth. Predators have an important ecological role, so understanding the influence of changes in the cryosphere on predator–prey interactions may better illuminate the broader influence of climate change on food-web dynamics. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1007/s00442-023-05418-6 |
format | article |
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Vulpes lagopus
) and red fox (
V. vulpes
) population dynamics near the southern edge of the Arctic fox distribution using fur harvest records from Churchill, Manitoba, Canada between 1955 and 2012. Arctic foxes showed a declining population trend over time (inferred from harvest records corrected for trapping effort), whereas the red fox population trend was relatively stable. The positive relationship between the annual Arctic and red fox harvests suggested interspecific competition did not promote the Arctic fox decline. To investigate alternative mechanisms, we evaluated the relative influence of sea-ice phenology, snow depth, snow duration, winter thaws, and summer temperature on the harvest dynamics of both species in the most recent 32 years (1980–2012;
n
= 29) of our data. Arctic fox harvests were negatively related to the length of time Hudson Bay was free of sea ice. Shorter sea ice duration may reduce access to seal carrion as an alternative winter food source when lemming densities decline. Contrary to our prediction, red fox harvest was not related to summer temperature but was positively related to snow depth, suggesting winter prey availability may limit red fox population growth. Predators have an important ecological role, so understanding the influence of changes in the cryosphere on predator–prey interactions may better illuminate the broader influence of climate change on food-web dynamics.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0029-8549</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1432-1939</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1007/s00442-023-05418-6</identifier><identifier>PMID: 37458813</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Berlin/Heidelberg: Springer Berlin Heidelberg</publisher><subject>Arctic fox ; Availability ; Biomedical and Life Sciences ; Carrion ; Climate change ; Cryosphere ; Dynamics ; Ecological effects ; Ecology ; Food chains ; Food sources ; Food webs ; Foxes ; Global temperature changes ; Hydrology/Water Resources ; Ice ; Life Sciences ; Original Research ; Plant Sciences ; Population biology ; Population decline ; Population dynamics ; Population growth ; Predation ; Predator prey relations ; Predator-prey interactions ; Predators ; Prey ; Records ; Sea ice ; Snow ; Snow depth ; Summer ; Temperature ; Winter</subject><ispartof>Oecologia, 2023-07, Vol.202 (3), p.589-599</ispartof><rights>The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2023. Springer Nature or its licensor (e.g. a society or other partner) holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law.</rights><rights>2023. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature.</rights><rights>COPYRIGHT 2023 Springer</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c520t-d6e4504fa906e5d6561fdca3093d419a21c096d56f1ac8efa249ea67913439523</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c520t-d6e4504fa906e5d6561fdca3093d419a21c096d56f1ac8efa249ea67913439523</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-0296-2786</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/37458813$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Verstege, Jacqueline S.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Johnson-Bice, Sean M.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Roth, James D.</creatorcontrib><title>Arctic and red fox population responses to climate and cryosphere changes at the Arctic’s edge</title><title>Oecologia</title><addtitle>Oecologia</addtitle><addtitle>Oecologia</addtitle><description>Responses of one species to climate change may influence the population dynamics of others, particularly in the Arctic where food webs are strongly linked. Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic (
Vulpes lagopus
) and red fox (
V. vulpes
) population dynamics near the southern edge of the Arctic fox distribution using fur harvest records from Churchill, Manitoba, Canada between 1955 and 2012. Arctic foxes showed a declining population trend over time (inferred from harvest records corrected for trapping effort), whereas the red fox population trend was relatively stable. The positive relationship between the annual Arctic and red fox harvests suggested interspecific competition did not promote the Arctic fox decline. To investigate alternative mechanisms, we evaluated the relative influence of sea-ice phenology, snow depth, snow duration, winter thaws, and summer temperature on the harvest dynamics of both species in the most recent 32 years (1980–2012;
n
= 29) of our data. Arctic fox harvests were negatively related to the length of time Hudson Bay was free of sea ice. Shorter sea ice duration may reduce access to seal carrion as an alternative winter food source when lemming densities decline. Contrary to our prediction, red fox harvest was not related to summer temperature but was positively related to snow depth, suggesting winter prey availability may limit red fox population growth. Predators have an important ecological role, so understanding the influence of changes in the cryosphere on predator–prey interactions may better illuminate the broader influence of climate change on food-web dynamics.</description><subject>Arctic fox</subject><subject>Availability</subject><subject>Biomedical and Life Sciences</subject><subject>Carrion</subject><subject>Climate change</subject><subject>Cryosphere</subject><subject>Dynamics</subject><subject>Ecological effects</subject><subject>Ecology</subject><subject>Food chains</subject><subject>Food sources</subject><subject>Food webs</subject><subject>Foxes</subject><subject>Global temperature changes</subject><subject>Hydrology/Water Resources</subject><subject>Ice</subject><subject>Life Sciences</subject><subject>Original Research</subject><subject>Plant Sciences</subject><subject>Population biology</subject><subject>Population decline</subject><subject>Population dynamics</subject><subject>Population growth</subject><subject>Predation</subject><subject>Predator prey relations</subject><subject>Predator-prey interactions</subject><subject>Predators</subject><subject>Prey</subject><subject>Records</subject><subject>Sea ice</subject><subject>Snow</subject><subject>Snow 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Specifically, changes to the cryosphere may limit prey availability for predators. We examined Arctic (
Vulpes lagopus
) and red fox (
V. vulpes
) population dynamics near the southern edge of the Arctic fox distribution using fur harvest records from Churchill, Manitoba, Canada between 1955 and 2012. Arctic foxes showed a declining population trend over time (inferred from harvest records corrected for trapping effort), whereas the red fox population trend was relatively stable. The positive relationship between the annual Arctic and red fox harvests suggested interspecific competition did not promote the Arctic fox decline. To investigate alternative mechanisms, we evaluated the relative influence of sea-ice phenology, snow depth, snow duration, winter thaws, and summer temperature on the harvest dynamics of both species in the most recent 32 years (1980–2012;
n
= 29) of our data. Arctic fox harvests were negatively related to the length of time Hudson Bay was free of sea ice. Shorter sea ice duration may reduce access to seal carrion as an alternative winter food source when lemming densities decline. Contrary to our prediction, red fox harvest was not related to summer temperature but was positively related to snow depth, suggesting winter prey availability may limit red fox population growth. Predators have an important ecological role, so understanding the influence of changes in the cryosphere on predator–prey interactions may better illuminate the broader influence of climate change on food-web dynamics.</abstract><cop>Berlin/Heidelberg</cop><pub>Springer Berlin Heidelberg</pub><pmid>37458813</pmid><doi>10.1007/s00442-023-05418-6</doi><tpages>11</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0296-2786</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Arctic fox Availability Biomedical and Life Sciences Carrion Climate change Cryosphere Dynamics Ecological effects Ecology Food chains Food sources Food webs Foxes Global temperature changes Hydrology/Water Resources Ice Life Sciences Original Research Plant Sciences Population biology Population decline Population dynamics Population growth Predation Predator prey relations Predator-prey interactions Predators Prey Records Sea ice Snow Snow depth Summer Temperature Winter |
title | Arctic and red fox population responses to climate and cryosphere changes at the Arctic’s edge |
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