Monthly variations of groundwater arsenic risk under future climate scenarios in 2081–2100

The seasonal variations of shallow groundwater arsenic have been widely documented. To gain insight into the monthly variations and mechanisms behind high groundwater arsenic and arsenic exposure risk in different climate scenarios, the monthly probability of high groundwater arsenic in Hetao Basin...

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Published in:Environmental science and pollution research international 2023-12, Vol.30 (58), p.122230-122244
Main Authors: Wei, Binggan, Yin, Shuhui, Yu, Jiangping, Yang, Linsheng, Wen, Qiqian, Wang, Ting, Yuan, Xing
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
algorithms
Aquatic Pollution
Arsenic
Arsenic - analysis
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
basins
Climate
Drinking water
Earth and Environmental Science
Ecotoxicology
Environment
Environmental Chemistry
Environmental Health
Environmental Monitoring
Exposure
Groundwater
human health
Humans
Landforms
Livestock
Precipitation
Probability
Rainy season
Research Article
Risk
Seasonal variations
Seasons
soil
Soil properties
Temperature
topography
Waste Water Technology
Water analysis
Water consumption
Water Management
Water Pollutants, Chemical - analysis
Water Pollution Control
Water sampling
wet season
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creator Wei, Binggan
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Yu, Jiangping
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Wang, Ting
Yuan, Xing
description The seasonal variations of shallow groundwater arsenic have been widely documented. To gain insight into the monthly variations and mechanisms behind high groundwater arsenic and arsenic exposure risk in different climate scenarios, the monthly probability of high groundwater arsenic in Hetao Basin was simulated through random forest model. The model was based on arsenic concentrations obtained from 566 groundwater sample sites, and the variables considered included soil properties, climate, topography, and landform parameters. The results revealed that spatial patterns of high groundwater arsenic showed some fluctuations among months under different future climate scenarios. The probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic was found to be elevated at the start of the rainy season, only to rapidly decrease with increasing precipitation and temperature. The probability then increased again after the rainy season. The areas with an increased probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk under SSP126 were typically found in the high-arsenic areas of 2019, while those with decreased probabilities were observed in low-arsenic areas. Under SSP585, which involves a significant increase in precipitation and temperature, the probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk was widely reduced. However, the probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk was mainly observed in low-arsenic areas from SSP126 to SSP585. In conclusion, the consumption of groundwater for human and livestock drinking remains a threat to human health due to high arsenic exposure under future climate scenarios.
doi_str_mv 10.1007/s11356-023-30965-z
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The areas with an increased probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk under SSP126 were typically found in the high-arsenic areas of 2019, while those with decreased probabilities were observed in low-arsenic areas. Under SSP585, which involves a significant increase in precipitation and temperature, the probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk was widely reduced. However, the probability of high total arsenic and trivalent arsenic and arsenic exposure risk was mainly observed in low-arsenic areas from SSP126 to SSP585. 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subjects algorithms
Aquatic Pollution
Arsenic
Arsenic - analysis
Atmospheric Protection/Air Quality Control/Air Pollution
basins
Climate
Drinking water
Earth and Environmental Science
Ecotoxicology
Environment
Environmental Chemistry
Environmental Health
Environmental Monitoring
Exposure
Groundwater
human health
Humans
Landforms
Livestock
Precipitation
Probability
Rainy season
Research Article
Risk
Seasonal variations
Seasons
soil
Soil properties
Temperature
topography
Waste Water Technology
Water analysis
Water consumption
Water Management
Water Pollutants, Chemical - analysis
Water Pollution Control
Water sampling
wet season
title Monthly variations of groundwater arsenic risk under future climate scenarios in 2081–2100
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