Risk-scoring system predicting need for hospital-specific interventional care after peroral endoscopic myotomy

• Published in: Digestive endoscopy 2024-09
• Main Authors: Abe, Hirofumi, Tanaka, Shinwa, Sakaguchi, Hiroya, Ueda, Chise, Hori, Hitomi, Nakai, Tatsuya, Yoshizaki, Tetsuya, Kawara, Fumiaki, Toyonaga, Takashi, Kinoshita, Masato, Urakami, Satoshi, Hoki, Shinya, Tanabe, Hiroshi, Kodama, Yuzo
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• ISSN: 0915-5635; 1443-1661; 1443-1661
• DOI: 10.1111/den.14909

Early identification of patients needing hospital-specific interventional care (HIC) following endoscopic treatment is valuable for optimizing postoperative hospital stays. We aimed to develop and validate a risk-scoring system for predicting HIC in patients who underwent peroral endoscopic myotomy (POEM). This study included patients with esophageal motility disorders who underwent POEM at our hospital between April 2015 and March 2023. HIC was defined as any of the following situations: fasting for gastrointestinal rest to manage adverse events (AEs); intravenous administration of medications such as antibiotics and blood transfusion; endoscopic, radiologic, and surgical interventions; intensive care unit management; or other life-threatening events. A risk-scoring system for predicting HIC after postoperative day (POD) 1 was developed using multivariable logistic regression and was internally validated using bootstrapping and decision curve analysis. Of the 589 patients, 50 (8.5%) experienced HIC after POD1. Risk scores were assigned for four factors as follows: age (0 points for 45, 1 point for 40-45, 4 points for