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Reference-Dependent Consumption Plans
We develop a rational dynamic model in which people are loss averse over changes in beliefs about present and future consumption. Because changes in wealth are news about future consumption, preferences over money are reference-dependent. If news resonates more when about imminent consumption than w...
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Published in: | The American economic review 2009-06, Vol.99 (3), p.909-936 |
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container_title | The American economic review |
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creator | Kőszegi, Botond Rabin, Matthew |
description | We develop a rational dynamic model in which people are loss averse over changes in beliefs about present and future consumption. Because changes in wealth are news about future consumption, preferences over money are reference-dependent. If news resonates more when about imminent consumption than when about future consumption, a decision maker might (to generate pleasant surprises) overconsume early relative to the optimal committed plan, increase immediate consumption following surprise wealth increases, and delay decreasing consumption following surprise losses. Since higher wealth mitigates the effect of bad news, people exhibit an unambiguous first-order precautionary-savings motive. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1257/aer.99.3.909 |
format | article |
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source | EconLit s plnými texty; EBSCOhost Business Source Ultimate; International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); ABI/INFORM Global (ProQuest); Social Science Premium Collection; JSTOR Archival Journals; American Economic Association Web |
subjects | Consumer economics Consumption Consumption theory Decision making Determinism Economics Expected utility Financial risk Intuition Loss aversion Lotteries Marginal utility Microeconomics Modeling Preferences Risk aversion Savings Studies Wealth |
title | Reference-Dependent Consumption Plans |
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