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Reference-Dependent Consumption Plans

We develop a rational dynamic model in which people are loss averse over changes in beliefs about present and future consumption. Because changes in wealth are news about future consumption, preferences over money are reference-dependent. If news resonates more when about imminent consumption than w...

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Published in:The American economic review 2009-06, Vol.99 (3), p.909-936
Main Authors: Kőszegi, Botond, Rabin, Matthew
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Language:English
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description We develop a rational dynamic model in which people are loss averse over changes in beliefs about present and future consumption. Because changes in wealth are news about future consumption, preferences over money are reference-dependent. If news resonates more when about imminent consumption than when about future consumption, a decision maker might (to generate pleasant surprises) overconsume early relative to the optimal committed plan, increase immediate consumption following surprise wealth increases, and delay decreasing consumption following surprise losses. Since higher wealth mitigates the effect of bad news, people exhibit an unambiguous first-order precautionary-savings motive.
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source EconLit s plnými texty; EBSCOhost Business Source Ultimate; International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); ABI/INFORM Global (ProQuest); Social Science Premium Collection; JSTOR Archival Journals; American Economic Association Web
subjects Consumer economics
Consumption
Consumption theory
Decision making
Determinism
Economics
Expected utility
Financial risk
Intuition
Loss aversion
Lotteries
Marginal utility
Microeconomics
Modeling
Preferences
Risk aversion
Savings
Studies
Wealth
title Reference-Dependent Consumption Plans
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