Disaggregated industrial energy consumption and GDP: the case of Shanghai, 1952–1999

This paper investigates the causal relationship between various kinds of industrial energy consumption and GDP in Shanghai for the period 1952–1999 using a modified version of the Granger (1969) causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (J. Econ. 66 (1995) 225). The empirical evidence from disagg...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy economics 2004, Vol.26 (1), p.69-75
Main Author: Wolde-Rufael, Yemane
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Applied sciences
Causality
China
Coal
Economic development
Economic growth
Economics
Empiricism
Energy
Energy consumption
Energy economics
Energy policy
Exact sciences and technology
Fuels
GDP
General, economic and professional studies
Gross Domestic Product
Industry
Lag-augmented VAR
Mathematical models
Methodology. Modelling
Oil
Shanghai
Statistical analysis
Studies
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Summary:This paper investigates the causal relationship between various kinds of industrial energy consumption and GDP in Shanghai for the period 1952–1999 using a modified version of the Granger (1969) causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (J. Econ. 66 (1995) 225). The empirical evidence from disaggregated energy series seems to suggest that there was a uni-directional Granger causality running from coal, coke, electricity and total energy consumption to real GDP but no Granger causality running in any direction between oil consumption and real GDP.
ISSN:0140-9883
1873-6181
DOI:10.1016/S0140-9883(03)00032-X