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An Intraday Examination of the Federal Funds Market: Implications for the Theories of the Reverse‐J Pattern
The intraday literature suggests that returns, variances, and volume form an intraday reverse‐J pattern. Two competing theories explain the observed patterns: private information about future security prices and trading stoppages. The Federal funds market allows a unique opportunity to study the cau...
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Published in: | The Journal of business (Chicago, Ill.) Ill.), 2001-10, Vol.74 (4), p.535-556 |
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container_end_page | 556 |
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container_start_page | 535 |
container_title | The Journal of business (Chicago, Ill.) |
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creator | Cyree, Ken B. Winters, Drew B. |
description | The intraday literature suggests that returns, variances, and volume form an intraday reverse‐J pattern. Two competing theories explain the observed patterns: private information about future security prices and trading stoppages. The Federal funds market allows a unique opportunity to study the causes of intraday patterns because private information common to most markets does not play a role in setting prices. We find reverse‐J variance patterns while accounting for generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model effects. Our results support trading stops as an explanation for the reverse‐J pattern and suggest that private information is not a necessary condition for the observed pattern. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1086/321937 |
format | article |
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subjects | Bank accounts Bank loans Bank reserves Business Business studies Capital Capital market Cash flow Desks Federal funding Federal funds Federal funds rate Federal Reserve Bank Hypotheses Information Interest rates Lines of credit Loan agreements Modeling Open markets Price elasticity Regulation D Required reserves Securities markets Securities trading Settlements & damages Statistical data Statistical variance Stock exchange Stock prices Studies |
title | An Intraday Examination of the Federal Funds Market: Implications for the Theories of the Reverse‐J Pattern |
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