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Real and Nominal Interest Rates: A Discrete-Time Model and Its Continuous- Time Limit
I provide a general equilibrium theory of the term structure of real interest rates in a discrete-time economy. I derive the prices for one-period and two-period real bonds and a simple recursive formula for general k-period bonds, and prove that the price formula with appropriately specified parame...
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Published in: | The Review of financial studies 1992-01, Vol.5 (4), p.581-611 |
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creator | Sun, Tong-sheng |
description | I provide a general equilibrium theory of the term structure of real interest rates in a discrete-time economy. I derive the prices for one-period and two-period real bonds and a simple recursive formula for general k-period bonds, and prove that the price formula with appropriately specified parameters converges to that of the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross model (1985). In addition, I consider the behavior of nominal bond prices in a partial equilibrium setting in which an exogenous price level process is correlated with the real economy. Finally, I provide an illustrative empirical investigation of the model. The results indicate a significant correlation between the price level and the growth rate of consumption, which does not support the "money neutrality" assumption underlying Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross's nominal bond prices and related empirical studies, such as Gibbons and Ramaswamy (1992), Heston (1991), and Pearson and Sun (1991). |
doi_str_mv | 10.1093/rfs/5.4.581 |
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The results indicate a significant correlation between the price level and the growth rate of consumption, which does not support the "money neutrality" assumption underlying Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross's nominal bond prices and related empirical studies, such as Gibbons and Ramaswamy (1992), Heston (1991), and Pearson and Sun (1991).</description><identifier>ISSN: 0893-9454</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1465-7368</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1093/rfs/5.4.581</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York, NY: Oxford University Press</publisher><subject>Arbitrage ; Bond market ; Consumer Price Index ; Consumption ; Discounts ; Economic growth rate ; Economic modeling ; Economic models ; Endowment ; Endowments ; Equilibrium ; Financial bonds ; Financial economics ; Growth rate ; Hypotheses ; Inflation rates ; Interest rates ; Nominal interest rates ; Price levels ; Risk premiums ; Utility functions ; Yield to maturity</subject><ispartof>The Review of financial studies, 1992-01, Vol.5 (4), p.581-611</ispartof><rights>Copyright 1992 The Society for Financial Studies</rights><rights>Copyright Oxford University Press(England) Winter 1992</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c332t-2de4f8226cae026f0d8c1f11fc303caadc74fb765316f748e625a2fdda03d8593</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c332t-2de4f8226cae026f0d8c1f11fc303caadc74fb765316f748e625a2fdda03d8593</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/pdf/2962142$$EPDF$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.jstor.org/stable/2962142$$EHTML$$P50$$Gjstor$$H</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27922,27923,33222,58236,58469</link.rule.ids></links><search><creatorcontrib>Sun, Tong-sheng</creatorcontrib><title>Real and Nominal Interest Rates: A Discrete-Time Model and Its Continuous- Time Limit</title><title>The Review of financial studies</title><description>I provide a general equilibrium theory of the term structure of real interest rates in a discrete-time economy. I derive the prices for one-period and two-period real bonds and a simple recursive formula for general k-period bonds, and prove that the price formula with appropriately specified parameters converges to that of the Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross model (1985). In addition, I consider the behavior of nominal bond prices in a partial equilibrium setting in which an exogenous price level process is correlated with the real economy. Finally, I provide an illustrative empirical investigation of the model. The results indicate a significant correlation between the price level and the growth rate of consumption, which does not support the "money neutrality" assumption underlying Cox, Ingersoll, and Ross's nominal bond prices and related empirical studies, such as Gibbons and Ramaswamy (1992), Heston (1991), and Pearson and Sun (1991).</description><subject>Arbitrage</subject><subject>Bond market</subject><subject>Consumer Price Index</subject><subject>Consumption</subject><subject>Discounts</subject><subject>Economic growth rate</subject><subject>Economic modeling</subject><subject>Economic models</subject><subject>Endowment</subject><subject>Endowments</subject><subject>Equilibrium</subject><subject>Financial bonds</subject><subject>Financial economics</subject><subject>Growth rate</subject><subject>Hypotheses</subject><subject>Inflation rates</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>Nominal interest rates</subject><subject>Price levels</subject><subject>Risk premiums</subject><subject>Utility functions</subject><subject>Yield to maturity</subject><issn>0893-9454</issn><issn>1465-7368</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>1992</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8BJ</sourceid><recordid>eNp10UtLAzEUBeAgCtbqyq2LQcGNTJv3ZNyV-ipUhdKuQ8wDpnQmNcks_PdGR1wIrnIhXy4nHADOEZwgWJNpcHHKJnTCBDoAI0Q5KyvCxSEYQVGTsqaMHoOTGLcQQkQoHIHNyqpdoTpTvPi26fK86JINNqZipZKNt8WsuGuiDjbZct20tnj2xg4vFikWc9-lput9H8vi-3rZtE06BUdO7aI9-znHYPNwv54_lcvXx8V8tiw1ITiV2FjqBMZcKwsxd9AIjRxCThNItFJGV9S9VZwRxF1FheWYKeyMUZAYwWoyBtfD3n3w730OLduc1e52qrM5kiSCCoYFzPDyD9z6PuTvRolhxQWqCMro6j-EcI0Rq5EgWd0MSgcfY7BO7kPTqvAhEZRfLcjcgmSSytxC1heD3sbkwy_FNceIYvIJKGCB3Q</recordid><startdate>19920101</startdate><enddate>19920101</enddate><creator>Sun, Tong-sheng</creator><general>Oxford University Press</general><general>Published by Oxford University Press for the Society for Financial Studies</general><general>Oxford Publishing Limited (England)</general><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>JQCIK</scope><scope>K30</scope><scope>PAAUG</scope><scope>PAWHS</scope><scope>PAWZZ</scope><scope>PAXOH</scope><scope>PBHAV</scope><scope>PBQSW</scope><scope>PBYQZ</scope><scope>PCIWU</scope><scope>PCMID</scope><scope>PCZJX</scope><scope>PDGRG</scope><scope>PDWWI</scope><scope>PETMR</scope><scope>PFVGT</scope><scope>PGXDX</scope><scope>PIHIL</scope><scope>PISVA</scope><scope>PJCTQ</scope><scope>PJTMS</scope><scope>PLCHJ</scope><scope>PMHAD</scope><scope>PNQDJ</scope><scope>POUND</scope><scope>PPLAD</scope><scope>PQAPC</scope><scope>PQCAN</scope><scope>PQCMW</scope><scope>PQEME</scope><scope>PQHKH</scope><scope>PQMID</scope><scope>PQNCT</scope><scope>PQNET</scope><scope>PQSCT</scope><scope>PQSET</scope><scope>PSVJG</scope><scope>PVMQY</scope><scope>PZGFC</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>19920101</creationdate><title>Real and Nominal Interest Rates: A Discrete-Time Model and Its Continuous- Time Limit</title><author>Sun, Tong-sheng</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c332t-2de4f8226cae026f0d8c1f11fc303caadc74fb765316f748e625a2fdda03d8593</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>1992</creationdate><topic>Arbitrage</topic><topic>Bond market</topic><topic>Consumer Price Index</topic><topic>Consumption</topic><topic>Discounts</topic><topic>Economic growth rate</topic><topic>Economic modeling</topic><topic>Economic models</topic><topic>Endowment</topic><topic>Endowments</topic><topic>Equilibrium</topic><topic>Financial bonds</topic><topic>Financial economics</topic><topic>Growth rate</topic><topic>Hypotheses</topic><topic>Inflation rates</topic><topic>Interest rates</topic><topic>Nominal interest rates</topic><topic>Price levels</topic><topic>Risk premiums</topic><topic>Utility functions</topic><topic>Yield to maturity</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Sun, Tong-sheng</creatorcontrib><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online Segment 33</collection><collection>Periodicals Index Online</collection><collection>Primary Sources Access—Foundation Edition (Plan E) - 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source | EconLit s plnými texty; EBSCOhost Business Source Ultimate; International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); Oxford University Press Archive; JSTOR |
subjects | Arbitrage Bond market Consumer Price Index Consumption Discounts Economic growth rate Economic modeling Economic models Endowment Endowments Equilibrium Financial bonds Financial economics Growth rate Hypotheses Inflation rates Interest rates Nominal interest rates Price levels Risk premiums Utility functions Yield to maturity |
title | Real and Nominal Interest Rates: A Discrete-Time Model and Its Continuous- Time Limit |
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