Estimation of the exposure of the French population to the BSE agent: comparison of the 1980-95 consumption of beef products containing mechanically recovered meat in France and the UK, by birth cohort and gender

• Published in: Statistical methods in medical research 2003-06, Vol.12 (3), p.247-260
• Main Authors: Chadeau-Hyam, Marc, Tard, Alexandra, Bird, Sheila, Le Guennec, Solenn, Bemrah, Nawel, Volatier, Jean-Luc, Alperovitch, Annick
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Animals; Bovine spongiform encephalopathy; Cattle; Child; Child, Preschool; Cohort Studies; Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease; Encephalopathy, Bovine Spongiform - epidemiology; Encephalopathy, Bovine Spongiform - transmission; Exposure; Female; Food consumption; Food Contamination; Food Preferences; Forecasting; France; France - epidemiology; Humans; Incidence; Infant; Infant, Newborn; Male; Meat Products - adverse effects; Meat Products - utilization; Middle Aged; Patterns; Risk factors; Sex Factors; United Kingdom - epidemiology; Variants
• ISSN: 0962-2802; 1477-0334
• DOI: 10.1191/0962280203sm330ra

Assuming that human exposure to BSE was through beef mechanically recovered meat (MRM) consumed as burgers and other meat products, we estimated the French consumption of different food items containing beef MRM, and compared these consumptions for French and British populations. To estimate consumption of meat products containing bovine MRM, we used dietary data from national individual and household food surveys conducted between 1980 and 1995. After reconciliation of consumption data between the available surveys and calendar year adjustments, we simulated consumption of one-thousandth of the French population. Consumption was estimated by birth cohort and gender, and for the periods 1980-89 and 1990-95 separately. Data showed that burgers (including manufactured minced meat) represented around 75-80% of the individual consumption of meat products containing MRM, and that consumption of burgers increased by 40% over the 1980-95 period. In all age groups, consumption was higher in males than in females. In both genders, the 1940-69 birth cohort had the highest mean consumption of burgers and other beef products containing MRM. Similar findings have been reported for the UK population. Estimated consumption of bovine MRM per calendar year increased markedly over the study period, concomitantly with an increase of bovine carcasses imported from the UK. Comparison of the 1980-1995 pattern of bovine MRM consumption in the UK and France indicated that this consumption peaked later in France than in the UK. This difference might result in different temporal pattern of vCJD incidence.