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Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020
ABSTRACT Aims This study aimed to project the number of people aged 50 years or older with substance use disorder (alcohol/illicit drug dependence or abuse) in the United States in 2020. Design Logistic regression models were applied to estimate parameters predicting past‐year substance use disord...
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| Published in: | Addiction (Abingdon, England) England), 2009-01, Vol.104 (1), p.88-96 |
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| Main Authors: | , , , |
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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| cited_by | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863 |
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| cites | cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863 |
| container_end_page | 96 |
| container_issue | 1 |
| container_start_page | 88 |
| container_title | Addiction (Abingdon, England) |
| container_volume | 104 |
| creator | Han, Beth Gfroerer, Joseph C. Colliver, James D. Penne, Michael A. |
| description | ABSTRACT
Aims This study aimed to project the number of people aged 50 years or older with substance use disorder (alcohol/illicit drug dependence or abuse) in the United States in 2020.
Design Logistic regression models were applied to estimate parameters predicting past‐year substance use disorder using the 2002–06 National Survey on Drug Use and Health data. We applied these parameters to the projected US 2020 population to estimate the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder in 2020.
Setting Non‐institutionalized US residences.
Participants Representative sample of the US civilian, non‐institutionalized population.
Measurements Substance use disorder is classified based on criteria in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition.
Findings Due to the large population size and high substance use rate of the baby‐boom cohort, the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder is projected to double from 2.8 million (annual average) in 2002–06 to 5.7 million in 2020. Increases are projected for all examined gender, race/ethnicity and age groups.
Conclusions Our estimates provide critical information for policymakers to allocate resources and develop prevention and treatment approaches to address future needs of the US older adult population with substance use disorder. |
| doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2008.02411.x |
| format | article |
| fullrecord | <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_58811347</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><sourcerecordid>58811347</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNqNkU1v1DAQhi0EokvhLyALCW4JM7ZjOwcO_WALYlUOpeJo2YkDWbJJaydi--9xdleLxKX44tH4eefDLyEUIcd03q9z5BIyEILnDEDnwARivn1CFseHp2QBpSwyhgJOyIsY1wCgdCmekxMskXNdsgVZ3kwujravPJ2ip3Ubh1D7QO1m6H_QodvF9dSNkbY9HX96etu3o6_pzWhHv0syYPCSPGtsF_2rw31Kbpcfv118ylZfrz5fnK2ySjLErLbIEZwTGgpsBK8duMY3UtTOVoKBdWWphW6crWXlVaGwENo7LVIiDSz5KXm3r3sXhvvJx9Fs2lj5rrO9H6ZoCq0RuVCPg4pJlv7nUZArKBQvZvDNP-B6mEKftjVYljK1BZYgvYeqMMQYfGPuQrux4cEgmNk6szazQ2Z2yMzWmZ11Zpukrw_1J7fx9V_hwasEvD0ANla2a0JyrY1Hbt4GsJi5D3vud9v5h_8ewJxdXs5R0md7fRtHvz3qbfhlpOKqMN-vr8y5XMrV9bkyX_gfLLTARQ</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>199611302</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020</title><source>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</source><source>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</source><source>Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection</source><source>PAIS Index</source><source>SPORTDiscus with Full Text (EBSCO)</source><creator>Han, Beth ; Gfroerer, Joseph C. ; Colliver, James D. ; Penne, Michael A.</creator><creatorcontrib>Han, Beth ; Gfroerer, Joseph C. ; Colliver, James D. ; Penne, Michael A.</creatorcontrib><description>ABSTRACT
Aims This study aimed to project the number of people aged 50 years or older with substance use disorder (alcohol/illicit drug dependence or abuse) in the United States in 2020.
Design Logistic regression models were applied to estimate parameters predicting past‐year substance use disorder using the 2002–06 National Survey on Drug Use and Health data. We applied these parameters to the projected US 2020 population to estimate the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder in 2020.
Setting Non‐institutionalized US residences.
Participants Representative sample of the US civilian, non‐institutionalized population.
Measurements Substance use disorder is classified based on criteria in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition.
Findings Due to the large population size and high substance use rate of the baby‐boom cohort, the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder is projected to double from 2.8 million (annual average) in 2002–06 to 5.7 million in 2020. Increases are projected for all examined gender, race/ethnicity and age groups.
Conclusions Our estimates provide critical information for policymakers to allocate resources and develop prevention and treatment approaches to address future needs of the US older adult population with substance use disorder.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0965-2140</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1360-0443</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.2008.02411.x</identifier><identifier>PMID: 19133892</identifier><identifier>CODEN: ADICE5</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>Oxford, UK: Blackwell Publishing Ltd</publisher><subject>Addiction ; Addictive behaviors ; Adult and adolescent clinical studies ; Age Factors ; Alcohol ; Biological and medical sciences ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; Data Collection ; Drug abuse ; Drug addiction ; Drugs ; Elderly people ; Ethnicity ; Female ; Forecasting ; Forecasts ; Future ; Gender ; Health Services Needs and Demand - economics ; Health Services Needs and Demand - trends ; Humans ; illicit drugs ; Male ; Medical sciences ; Mental Health Services - economics ; Mental Health Services - trends ; Middle Aged ; Old age ; older adults ; Older people ; Predictions ; Prevalence ; projection ; Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry ; Psychopathology. Psychiatry ; Race ; Regression Analysis ; Social problems ; Substance abuse ; Substance abuse disorders ; Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - economics ; Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - trends ; Substance use ; substance use disorder ; Substance-Related Disorders - epidemiology ; Substance-Related Disorders - therapy ; Surveys ; U.S.A ; United States ; United States - epidemiology ; USA</subject><ispartof>Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2009-01, Vol.104 (1), p.88-96</ispartof><rights>2009 The Authors. Journal compilation © 2009 Society for the Study of Addiction</rights><rights>2009 INIST-CNRS</rights><rights>Journal compilation © 2009 Society for the Study of Addiction</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,776,780,27842,27901,27902,30977,33200,33201</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=getRecordDetail&idt=20960152$$DView record in Pascal Francis$$Hfree_for_read</backlink><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/19133892$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Han, Beth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gfroerer, Joseph C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Colliver, James D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Penne, Michael A.</creatorcontrib><title>Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020</title><title>Addiction (Abingdon, England)</title><addtitle>Addiction</addtitle><description>ABSTRACT
Aims This study aimed to project the number of people aged 50 years or older with substance use disorder (alcohol/illicit drug dependence or abuse) in the United States in 2020.
Design Logistic regression models were applied to estimate parameters predicting past‐year substance use disorder using the 2002–06 National Survey on Drug Use and Health data. We applied these parameters to the projected US 2020 population to estimate the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder in 2020.
Setting Non‐institutionalized US residences.
Participants Representative sample of the US civilian, non‐institutionalized population.
Measurements Substance use disorder is classified based on criteria in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition.
Findings Due to the large population size and high substance use rate of the baby‐boom cohort, the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder is projected to double from 2.8 million (annual average) in 2002–06 to 5.7 million in 2020. Increases are projected for all examined gender, race/ethnicity and age groups.
Conclusions Our estimates provide critical information for policymakers to allocate resources and develop prevention and treatment approaches to address future needs of the US older adult population with substance use disorder.</description><subject>Addiction</subject><subject>Addictive behaviors</subject><subject>Adult and adolescent clinical studies</subject><subject>Age Factors</subject><subject>Alcohol</subject><subject>Biological and medical sciences</subject><subject>Cross-Sectional Studies</subject><subject>Data Collection</subject><subject>Drug abuse</subject><subject>Drug addiction</subject><subject>Drugs</subject><subject>Elderly people</subject><subject>Ethnicity</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Forecasting</subject><subject>Forecasts</subject><subject>Future</subject><subject>Gender</subject><subject>Health Services Needs and Demand - economics</subject><subject>Health Services Needs and Demand - trends</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>illicit drugs</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Medical sciences</subject><subject>Mental Health Services - economics</subject><subject>Mental Health Services - trends</subject><subject>Middle Aged</subject><subject>Old age</subject><subject>older adults</subject><subject>Older people</subject><subject>Predictions</subject><subject>Prevalence</subject><subject>projection</subject><subject>Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry</subject><subject>Psychopathology. Psychiatry</subject><subject>Race</subject><subject>Regression Analysis</subject><subject>Social problems</subject><subject>Substance abuse</subject><subject>Substance abuse disorders</subject><subject>Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - economics</subject><subject>Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - trends</subject><subject>Substance use</subject><subject>substance use disorder</subject><subject>Substance-Related Disorders - epidemiology</subject><subject>Substance-Related Disorders - therapy</subject><subject>Surveys</subject><subject>U.S.A</subject><subject>United States</subject><subject>United States - epidemiology</subject><subject>USA</subject><issn>0965-2140</issn><issn>1360-0443</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2009</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8BJ</sourceid><sourceid>7QJ</sourceid><sourceid>7TQ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkU1v1DAQhi0EokvhLyALCW4JM7ZjOwcO_WALYlUOpeJo2YkDWbJJaydi--9xdleLxKX44tH4eefDLyEUIcd03q9z5BIyEILnDEDnwARivn1CFseHp2QBpSwyhgJOyIsY1wCgdCmekxMskXNdsgVZ3kwujravPJ2ip3Ubh1D7QO1m6H_QodvF9dSNkbY9HX96etu3o6_pzWhHv0syYPCSPGtsF_2rw31Kbpcfv118ylZfrz5fnK2ySjLErLbIEZwTGgpsBK8duMY3UtTOVoKBdWWphW6crWXlVaGwENo7LVIiDSz5KXm3r3sXhvvJx9Fs2lj5rrO9H6ZoCq0RuVCPg4pJlv7nUZArKBQvZvDNP-B6mEKftjVYljK1BZYgvYeqMMQYfGPuQrux4cEgmNk6szazQ2Z2yMzWmZ11Zpukrw_1J7fx9V_hwasEvD0ANla2a0JyrY1Hbt4GsJi5D3vud9v5h_8ewJxdXs5R0md7fRtHvz3qbfhlpOKqMN-vr8y5XMrV9bkyX_gfLLTARQ</recordid><startdate>200901</startdate><enddate>200901</enddate><creator>Han, Beth</creator><creator>Gfroerer, Joseph C.</creator><creator>Colliver, James D.</creator><creator>Penne, Michael A.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</general><general>Blackwell</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>IQODW</scope><scope>CGR</scope><scope>CUY</scope><scope>CVF</scope><scope>ECM</scope><scope>EIF</scope><scope>NPM</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>7QG</scope><scope>7TK</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope><scope>K9.</scope><scope>NAPCQ</scope><scope>7QJ</scope><scope>7TQ</scope><scope>DHY</scope><scope>DON</scope></search><sort><creationdate>200901</creationdate><title>Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020</title><author>Han, Beth ; Gfroerer, Joseph C. ; Colliver, James D. ; Penne, Michael A.</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c6211-da1310bb48051f43db0bfef64dbac420ab99848fbad6ce7571548eb84bad33863</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2009</creationdate><topic>Addiction</topic><topic>Addictive behaviors</topic><topic>Adult and adolescent clinical studies</topic><topic>Age Factors</topic><topic>Alcohol</topic><topic>Biological and medical sciences</topic><topic>Cross-Sectional Studies</topic><topic>Data Collection</topic><topic>Drug abuse</topic><topic>Drug addiction</topic><topic>Drugs</topic><topic>Elderly people</topic><topic>Ethnicity</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Forecasting</topic><topic>Forecasts</topic><topic>Future</topic><topic>Gender</topic><topic>Health Services Needs and Demand - economics</topic><topic>Health Services Needs and Demand - trends</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>illicit drugs</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Medical sciences</topic><topic>Mental Health Services - economics</topic><topic>Mental Health Services - trends</topic><topic>Middle Aged</topic><topic>Old age</topic><topic>older adults</topic><topic>Older people</topic><topic>Predictions</topic><topic>Prevalence</topic><topic>projection</topic><topic>Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry</topic><topic>Psychopathology. Psychiatry</topic><topic>Race</topic><topic>Regression Analysis</topic><topic>Social problems</topic><topic>Substance abuse</topic><topic>Substance abuse disorders</topic><topic>Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - economics</topic><topic>Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - trends</topic><topic>Substance use</topic><topic>substance use disorder</topic><topic>Substance-Related Disorders - epidemiology</topic><topic>Substance-Related Disorders - therapy</topic><topic>Surveys</topic><topic>U.S.A</topic><topic>United States</topic><topic>United States - epidemiology</topic><topic>USA</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Han, Beth</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gfroerer, Joseph C.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Colliver, James D.</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Penne, Michael A.</creatorcontrib><collection>Istex</collection><collection>Pascal-Francis</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>Animal Behavior Abstracts</collection><collection>Neurosciences Abstracts</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>ProQuest Health & Medical Complete (Alumni)</collection><collection>Nursing & Allied Health Premium</collection><collection>Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA)</collection><collection>PAIS Index</collection><collection>PAIS International</collection><collection>PAIS International (Ovid)</collection><jtitle>Addiction (Abingdon, England)</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Han, Beth</au><au>Gfroerer, Joseph C.</au><au>Colliver, James D.</au><au>Penne, Michael A.</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020</atitle><jtitle>Addiction (Abingdon, England)</jtitle><addtitle>Addiction</addtitle><date>2009-01</date><risdate>2009</risdate><volume>104</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>88</spage><epage>96</epage><pages>88-96</pages><issn>0965-2140</issn><eissn>1360-0443</eissn><coden>ADICE5</coden><abstract>ABSTRACT
Aims This study aimed to project the number of people aged 50 years or older with substance use disorder (alcohol/illicit drug dependence or abuse) in the United States in 2020.
Design Logistic regression models were applied to estimate parameters predicting past‐year substance use disorder using the 2002–06 National Survey on Drug Use and Health data. We applied these parameters to the projected US 2020 population to estimate the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder in 2020.
Setting Non‐institutionalized US residences.
Participants Representative sample of the US civilian, non‐institutionalized population.
Measurements Substance use disorder is classified based on criteria in the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders, 4th edition.
Findings Due to the large population size and high substance use rate of the baby‐boom cohort, the number of adults aged 50 or older with substance use disorder is projected to double from 2.8 million (annual average) in 2002–06 to 5.7 million in 2020. Increases are projected for all examined gender, race/ethnicity and age groups.
Conclusions Our estimates provide critical information for policymakers to allocate resources and develop prevention and treatment approaches to address future needs of the US older adult population with substance use disorder.</abstract><cop>Oxford, UK</cop><pub>Blackwell Publishing Ltd</pub><pmid>19133892</pmid><doi>10.1111/j.1360-0443.2008.02411.x</doi><tpages>9</tpages></addata></record> |
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| ispartof | Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2009-01, Vol.104 (1), p.88-96 |
| issn | 0965-2140 1360-0443 |
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| source | Applied Social Sciences Index & Abstracts (ASSIA); International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection; PAIS Index; SPORTDiscus with Full Text (EBSCO) |
| subjects | Addiction Addictive behaviors Adult and adolescent clinical studies Age Factors Alcohol Biological and medical sciences Cross-Sectional Studies Data Collection Drug abuse Drug addiction Drugs Elderly people Ethnicity Female Forecasting Forecasts Future Gender Health Services Needs and Demand - economics Health Services Needs and Demand - trends Humans illicit drugs Male Medical sciences Mental Health Services - economics Mental Health Services - trends Middle Aged Old age older adults Older people Predictions Prevalence projection Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry Psychopathology. Psychiatry Race Regression Analysis Social problems Substance abuse Substance abuse disorders Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - economics Substance Abuse Treatment Centers - trends Substance use substance use disorder Substance-Related Disorders - epidemiology Substance-Related Disorders - therapy Surveys U.S.A United States United States - epidemiology USA |
| title | Substance use disorder among older adults in the United States in 2020 |
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