Demographic and labour-market impacts of migration on Poland

Post-2004 labour migration from Poland turned out to be one of the most spectacular migratory movements in contemporary European history. This outflow on a massive scale is surmised to impact on demographic, economic, and social phenomena both in Poland and in the receiving countries. The aim of thi...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Oxford review of economic policy 2008-10, Vol.24 (3), p.599-624
Main Authors: Kaczmarczyk, Paweł, Okólski, Marek
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Census of Population
demographic impacts
Demographics
Demography
Economic impact
Economic impact analysis
Economic migration
Economic policy
Emigration
Estimates
EU enlargement
European history
European Union
F22
F24
Human migration
Immigration
Immigration policy
Internal migration
J21
J24
Labor
Labor market
Labor markets
Labor migration
Labour market
Labour migration
labour-market impacts
Migrant workers
Migration
Poland
Population migration
Rural populations
Socioeconomics
Studies
Unemployment
Vocational education
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Summary:Post-2004 labour migration from Poland turned out to be one of the most spectacular migratory movements in contemporary European history. This outflow on a massive scale is surmised to impact on demographic, economic, and social phenomena both in Poland and in the receiving countries. The aim of this paper is to assess the demographic and labour-market impacts of the recent migration of Poles. We argue that selectivity patterns in the post-accession period differ significantly from those noted in the pre-accession phase. Recently, a stronger propensity to migrate is observed among young and relatively well-educated people who, at the same time, originate from economically backward areas characterized by limited employment opportunities. This observation is consistent with our assessment of the labour-market impacts of recent migration from Poland. From the analyses presented it follows that the short- and medium-term impacts of migration on the Polish labour market are moderate. However, as we argue, recent outflow might contribute significantly to a crowding-out of the economy in the long term.
ISSN:0266-903X
1460-2121
DOI:10.1093/oxrep/grn029