Government Coercion of Dissidents: Deterrence or Provocation?

The dynamic effect of government coercion on dissident activities has been a controversial issue. It is contended that this relationship is significantly altered when different control variables such as regime type, ideological orientation, and economic performance are employed. Time series data bas...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Journal of conflict resolution 1993-06, Vol.37 (2), p.301-339
Main Authors: Gupta, Dipak K., Singh, Harinder, Sprague, Tom
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Coercion
CONFLICT
Conflict resolution
Control variables
Democracy
Deterrence
Dissent
Dissidents
Economic models
Economic sanctions
Government
Government policy
Gross national product
Group identity
IDEOLOGY
Political dissent
POLITICAL EVALUATION
Political violence
Social protests
Social research
VIOLENCE
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Summary:The dynamic effect of government coercion on dissident activities has been a controversial issue. It is contended that this relationship is significantly altered when different control variables such as regime type, ideological orientation, and economic performance are employed. Time series data based on 24 countries is used to estimate the net effect of government coercion on two types of dissident activities: protest demonstrations and deaths from domestic group violence. It is shown that in democratic nations, government sanctions provoke a higher level of protest demonstrations. However, in nondemocratic countries, at the extreme, severe sanctions can impose an unbearable cost, resulting in an inverse relationship between sanctions and political deaths. The nature of the regime influences not only the dynamics of the relationship between government coercion and dissident activities, but also the qualitative character of opposition response.
ISSN:0022-0027
1552-8766
DOI:10.1177/0022002793037002004