Hydrological Change – Climate Change Impact Simulations for Sweden

Climate change resulting from the enhanced greenhouse effect is expected to give rise to changes in hydrological systems. This hydrological change, as with the change in climate variables, will vary regionally around the globe. Impact studies at local and regional scales are needed to assess how dif...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Ambio 2004-06, Vol.33 (4), p.228-234
Main Authors: Andréasson, Johan, Bergström, Sten, Carlsson, Bengt, Graham, L. Phil, Lindström, Göran
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Climate
Climate change
Climate models
Computer Simulation
Evapotranspiration
Global climate models
Greenhouse Effect
Hydrological modeling
Hydrology
Modeling
Models, Theoretical
Simulations
Surface runoff
Sweden
Water Movements
Watershed hydrology
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Summary:Climate change resulting from the enhanced greenhouse effect is expected to give rise to changes in hydrological systems. This hydrological change, as with the change in climate variables, will vary regionally around the globe. Impact studies at local and regional scales are needed to assess how different regions will be affected. This study focuses on assessment of hydrological impacts of climate change over a wide range of Swedish basins. Different methods of transferring the signal of climate change from climate models to hydrological models were used. Several hydrological model simulations using regional climate model scenarios from Swedish Regional Climate Modelling Programme (SWECLIM) are presented. A principal conclusion is that subregional impacts to river flow vary considerably according to whether a basin is in northern or southern Sweden. Furthermore, projected hydrological change is just as dependent on the choice of the global climate model used for regional climate model boundary conditions as the choice of anthropogenic emissions scenario.
ISSN:0044-7447
1654-7209
DOI:10.1579/0044-7447-33.4.228