Predictive Value of Risk Factors in Patients with Obstructive Jaundice

• Published in: Journal of international medical research 2004-11, Vol.32 (6), p.633-638
• Main Authors: Pitiakoudis, M, Mimidis, K, Tsaroucha, AK, Papadopoulos, V, Karayiannakis, A, Simopoulos, C
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Adult; Aged; Aged, 80 and over; Bile Ducts; Female; Humans; Jaundice, Obstructive - diagnosis; Jaundice, Obstructive - mortality; Jaundice, Obstructive - pathology; Male; Middle Aged; Postoperative Complications; Retrospective Studies; Risk Factors; Time Factors
• ISSN: 0300-0605; 1473-2300
• DOI: 10.1177/147323000403200608

Clinical and laboratory parameters that may affect post-operative mortality and morbidity were studied in 215 patients operated on for obstructive jaundice. The cause of the bile duct obstruction was benign disease in 56.7% of patients and malignant disease in 43.3%. Overall postoperative mortality and morbidity rates were 21.9% and 33.5%, respectively. Eight risk factors were shown to be associated with increased mortality: age < 70 years; malignancy; leucocytosis < 15 000 cells/μl and fever < 38.5°C; haematocrit ≤ 30%; creatinine < 1.3 mg/dl; albumin ≤ 3 g/dl; bilirubin < 20 mg/dl; and serum alkaline phosphatase > 100 IU/l. The simultaneous presence of less than three risk factors was always associated with post-operative survival, but concomitant existence of seven or more risk factors indicated 100% mortality. Understanding the factors related to post-operative morbidity and mortality in patients with obstructive jaundice will better guide appropriate surgical or non-surgical management and lead to improved survival.