Evidence for the impact of global warming on the long–term population dynamics of common birds

Taking the opportunity in 2003 of the exceptionally warm spring in France as a natural simulation of possible future climate, we analysed common bird productivity using the French long-term capture-recapture national monitoring scheme. Two-thirds of the 32 species studied had an above-average produc...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Proceedings of the Royal Society. B, Biological sciences Biological sciences, 2004-12, Vol.271 (Suppl 6), p.S490-S492
Main Authors: Julliard, Romain, Jiguet, Frédéric, Couvet, Denis
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Animals
Aves
Aviculture
Birds
Birds - physiology
Capture-Recapture
Climate change
Country-Wide Long-Term Monitoring
Demography
Europe
France
Global climate models
Global warming
Greenhouse Effect
Logistic Models
Models, Biological
Population Dynamics
Population trends
Productivity
Reproduction - physiology
Species Specificity
Temperature
Time Factors
Warblers
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Summary:Taking the opportunity in 2003 of the exceptionally warm spring in France as a natural simulation of possible future climate, we analysed common bird productivity using the French long-term capture-recapture national monitoring scheme. Two-thirds of the 32 species studied had an above-average productivity in 2003. However, this gain in productivity was not consistent among species, with a relatively low productivity for species exhibiting a long-term decline and relatively high productivity for stable or increasing species. Such links between long-term and short-term dynamics suggest that the impact of increasingly warm springs on productivity is a major component of the recent population dynamics of a variety of common bird species.
ISSN:0962-8452
1471-2954
DOI:10.1098/rsbl.2004.0229