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Estimating induced travel for evaluation of metropolitan highway expansion

This paper demonstrates how induced travel can be estimated for incorporation into the evaluation process for highway expansion projects, at a sketch planning level of analysis. The approach is useful especially in cases where four-step urban travel models are either unavailable or are unable to for...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Transportation (Dordrecht) 1999-08, Vol.26 (3), p.249-262
Main Authors: DECORLA-SOUZA, P, COHEN, H
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:This paper demonstrates how induced travel can be estimated for incorporation into the evaluation process for highway expansion projects, at a sketch planning level of analysis. The approach is useful especially in cases where four-step urban travel models are either unavailable or are unable to forecast the full induced demand effects. The methodology is applied to a hypothetical freeway expansion analysis. Our analysis suggests that the magnitude of travel induced by highway expansion increases significantly as a function of initial congestion levels prior to expansion. However, under even extreme scenarios of initial congestion and consequent forecasted induced travel, there is a positive impact with respect to congestion relief. [PUBLICATION ABSTRACT]
ISSN:0049-4488
1572-9435
DOI:10.1023/A:1005161903828