Loading…

Housing busts and household mobility

Using two decades of American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, we revisit the literature on lock-in effects and provide new estimates of the impacts of negative equity and rising interest rates on the mobility of owners. Both lead to substantially lower mobility rates. Owners suffering from ne...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of urban economics 2010-07, Vol.68 (1), p.34-45
Main Authors: Ferreira, Fernando, Gyourko, Joseph, Tracy, Joseph
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Citations: Items that this one cites
Items that cite this one
Online Access:Get full text
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
cited_by cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3
cites cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3
container_end_page 45
container_issue 1
container_start_page 34
container_title Journal of urban economics
container_volume 68
creator Ferreira, Fernando
Gyourko, Joseph
Tracy, Joseph
description Using two decades of American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, we revisit the literature on lock-in effects and provide new estimates of the impacts of negative equity and rising interest rates on the mobility of owners. Both lead to substantially lower mobility rates. Owners suffering from negative equity are one-third less mobile, and every added $1000 in real annual mortgage costs lowers mobility by about 12%. Our results cannot simply be extrapolated to the future, but they do have potentially important implications for policy makers concerned about the consequences of the housing bust that began as our data series ended. In particular, they indicate that we need to begin considering the consequences of lock-in and reduced household mobility because they are quite different from those associated with default and higher mobility.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.jue.2009.10.007
format article
fullrecord <record><control><sourceid>proquest_cross</sourceid><recordid>TN_cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_743808471</recordid><sourceformat>XML</sourceformat><sourcesystem>PC</sourcesystem><els_id>S0094119009000886</els_id><sourcerecordid>743808471</sourcerecordid><originalsourceid>FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3</originalsourceid><addsrcrecordid>eNp9UE1LxDAUDKLg-vEDvC0ieOr60iRtgicRdQXBi55Dm7y6Kd12TVph_71vWfHgwcPkkfdmhmEYu-Cw4MCLm3bRTrjIAQz9FwDlAZtxMCozUOhDNqODzDg3cMxOUmoBOFe6mLGr5TCl0H_M6ymNaV71fr6iDa6Gzs_XQx26MG7P2FFTdQnPf-Ype398eLtfZi-vT8_3dy-ZU3k5ZloLVefodK5LxMoAFDkqDrqBRjdOFF46qSX3Bn0jKqmk8sJBLXyBWDsUp-x677uJw-eEabTrkBx2XdUjhbKlFBq0LDkxL_8w22GKPYWzpTJal0YbIvE9ycUhpYiN3cSwruLWcrC71mxrqTW7a223otZIs9xrIm7Q_QoQkZhu6O2XFVWh6dkSciCZqAKBEzYEIa1UdjWuyep2b4VU2VfAaJML2Dv0IaIbrR_CP0G-AfqFjG0</addsrcrecordid><sourcetype>Aggregation Database</sourcetype><iscdi>true</iscdi><recordtype>article</recordtype><pqid>759887989</pqid></control><display><type>article</type><title>Housing busts and household mobility</title><source>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</source><source>ScienceDirect Freedom Collection</source><creator>Ferreira, Fernando ; Gyourko, Joseph ; Tracy, Joseph</creator><creatorcontrib>Ferreira, Fernando ; Gyourko, Joseph ; Tracy, Joseph</creatorcontrib><description>Using two decades of American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, we revisit the literature on lock-in effects and provide new estimates of the impacts of negative equity and rising interest rates on the mobility of owners. Both lead to substantially lower mobility rates. Owners suffering from negative equity are one-third less mobile, and every added $1000 in real annual mortgage costs lowers mobility by about 12%. Our results cannot simply be extrapolated to the future, but they do have potentially important implications for policy makers concerned about the consequences of the housing bust that began as our data series ended. In particular, they indicate that we need to begin considering the consequences of lock-in and reduced household mobility because they are quite different from those associated with default and higher mobility.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0094-1190</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1095-9068</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1016/j.jue.2009.10.007</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>New York: Elsevier Inc</publisher><subject>Data analysis ; Economic impact ; Economic theory ; Home ownership ; Household mobility ; Household mobility Negative equity Mortgage lock-in ; Housing ; Housing market ; Interest rates ; Mobility ; Mortgage lock-in ; Mortgages ; Negative equity ; Real estate ; Residential mobility ; Studies ; Survey data ; U.S.A</subject><ispartof>Journal of urban economics, 2010-07, Vol.68 (1), p.34-45</ispartof><rights>2009</rights><rights>Copyright © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>314,780,784,27924,27925,33223,33224</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttp://econpapers.repec.org/article/eeejuecon/v_3a68_3ay_3a2010_3ai_3a1_3ap_3a34-45.htm$$DView record in RePEc$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Ferreira, Fernando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gyourko, Joseph</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tracy, Joseph</creatorcontrib><title>Housing busts and household mobility</title><title>Journal of urban economics</title><description>Using two decades of American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, we revisit the literature on lock-in effects and provide new estimates of the impacts of negative equity and rising interest rates on the mobility of owners. Both lead to substantially lower mobility rates. Owners suffering from negative equity are one-third less mobile, and every added $1000 in real annual mortgage costs lowers mobility by about 12%. Our results cannot simply be extrapolated to the future, but they do have potentially important implications for policy makers concerned about the consequences of the housing bust that began as our data series ended. In particular, they indicate that we need to begin considering the consequences of lock-in and reduced household mobility because they are quite different from those associated with default and higher mobility.</description><subject>Data analysis</subject><subject>Economic impact</subject><subject>Economic theory</subject><subject>Home ownership</subject><subject>Household mobility</subject><subject>Household mobility Negative equity Mortgage lock-in</subject><subject>Housing</subject><subject>Housing market</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>Mobility</subject><subject>Mortgage lock-in</subject><subject>Mortgages</subject><subject>Negative equity</subject><subject>Real estate</subject><subject>Residential mobility</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Survey data</subject><subject>U.S.A</subject><issn>0094-1190</issn><issn>1095-9068</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8BJ</sourceid><recordid>eNp9UE1LxDAUDKLg-vEDvC0ieOr60iRtgicRdQXBi55Dm7y6Kd12TVph_71vWfHgwcPkkfdmhmEYu-Cw4MCLm3bRTrjIAQz9FwDlAZtxMCozUOhDNqODzDg3cMxOUmoBOFe6mLGr5TCl0H_M6ymNaV71fr6iDa6Gzs_XQx26MG7P2FFTdQnPf-Ype398eLtfZi-vT8_3dy-ZU3k5ZloLVefodK5LxMoAFDkqDrqBRjdOFF46qSX3Bn0jKqmk8sJBLXyBWDsUp-x677uJw-eEabTrkBx2XdUjhbKlFBq0LDkxL_8w22GKPYWzpTJal0YbIvE9ycUhpYiN3cSwruLWcrC71mxrqTW7a223otZIs9xrIm7Q_QoQkZhu6O2XFVWh6dkSciCZqAKBEzYEIa1UdjWuyep2b4VU2VfAaJML2Dv0IaIbrR_CP0G-AfqFjG0</recordid><startdate>20100701</startdate><enddate>20100701</enddate><creator>Ferreira, Fernando</creator><creator>Gyourko, Joseph</creator><creator>Tracy, Joseph</creator><general>Elsevier Inc</general><general>Elsevier</general><general>Elsevier BV</general><scope>DKI</scope><scope>X2L</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>20100701</creationdate><title>Housing busts and household mobility</title><author>Ferreira, Fernando ; Gyourko, Joseph ; Tracy, Joseph</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2010</creationdate><topic>Data analysis</topic><topic>Economic impact</topic><topic>Economic theory</topic><topic>Home ownership</topic><topic>Household mobility</topic><topic>Household mobility Negative equity Mortgage lock-in</topic><topic>Housing</topic><topic>Housing market</topic><topic>Interest rates</topic><topic>Mobility</topic><topic>Mortgage lock-in</topic><topic>Mortgages</topic><topic>Negative equity</topic><topic>Real estate</topic><topic>Residential mobility</topic><topic>Studies</topic><topic>Survey data</topic><topic>U.S.A</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Ferreira, Fernando</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gyourko, Joseph</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tracy, Joseph</creatorcontrib><collection>RePEc IDEAS</collection><collection>RePEc</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS)</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><collection>International Bibliography of the Social Sciences</collection><jtitle>Journal of urban economics</jtitle></facets><delivery><delcategory>Remote Search Resource</delcategory><fulltext>fulltext</fulltext></delivery><addata><au>Ferreira, Fernando</au><au>Gyourko, Joseph</au><au>Tracy, Joseph</au><format>journal</format><genre>article</genre><ristype>JOUR</ristype><atitle>Housing busts and household mobility</atitle><jtitle>Journal of urban economics</jtitle><date>2010-07-01</date><risdate>2010</risdate><volume>68</volume><issue>1</issue><spage>34</spage><epage>45</epage><pages>34-45</pages><issn>0094-1190</issn><eissn>1095-9068</eissn><abstract>Using two decades of American Housing Survey data from 1985 to 2007, we revisit the literature on lock-in effects and provide new estimates of the impacts of negative equity and rising interest rates on the mobility of owners. Both lead to substantially lower mobility rates. Owners suffering from negative equity are one-third less mobile, and every added $1000 in real annual mortgage costs lowers mobility by about 12%. Our results cannot simply be extrapolated to the future, but they do have potentially important implications for policy makers concerned about the consequences of the housing bust that began as our data series ended. In particular, they indicate that we need to begin considering the consequences of lock-in and reduced household mobility because they are quite different from those associated with default and higher mobility.</abstract><cop>New York</cop><pub>Elsevier Inc</pub><doi>10.1016/j.jue.2009.10.007</doi><tpages>12</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
fulltext fulltext
identifier ISSN: 0094-1190
ispartof Journal of urban economics, 2010-07, Vol.68 (1), p.34-45
issn 0094-1190
1095-9068
language eng
recordid cdi_proquest_miscellaneous_743808471
source International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); ScienceDirect Freedom Collection
subjects Data analysis
Economic impact
Economic theory
Home ownership
Household mobility
Household mobility Negative equity Mortgage lock-in
Housing
Housing market
Interest rates
Mobility
Mortgage lock-in
Mortgages
Negative equity
Real estate
Residential mobility
Studies
Survey data
U.S.A
title Housing busts and household mobility
url http://sfxeu10.hosted.exlibrisgroup.com/loughborough?ctx_ver=Z39.88-2004&ctx_enc=info:ofi/enc:UTF-8&ctx_tim=2024-12-28T22%3A28%3A47IST&url_ver=Z39.88-2004&url_ctx_fmt=infofi/fmt:kev:mtx:ctx&rfr_id=info:sid/primo.exlibrisgroup.com:primo3-Article-proquest_cross&rft_val_fmt=info:ofi/fmt:kev:mtx:journal&rft.genre=article&rft.atitle=Housing%20busts%20and%20household%20mobility&rft.jtitle=Journal%20of%20urban%20economics&rft.au=Ferreira,%20Fernando&rft.date=2010-07-01&rft.volume=68&rft.issue=1&rft.spage=34&rft.epage=45&rft.pages=34-45&rft.issn=0094-1190&rft.eissn=1095-9068&rft_id=info:doi/10.1016/j.jue.2009.10.007&rft_dat=%3Cproquest_cross%3E743808471%3C/proquest_cross%3E%3Cgrp_id%3Ecdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c527t-8835b2ec8287eea90062e5108f0f8fc36d4c4841d9edf3a4545d3c0b3d6eebce3%3C/grp_id%3E%3Coa%3E%3C/oa%3E%3Curl%3E%3C/url%3E&rft_id=info:oai/&rft_pqid=759887989&rft_id=info:pmid/&rfr_iscdi=true