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Cod Today and None Tomorrow: The Economic Value of a Marine Reserve

Using data from what was once one of the world’s largest capture fisheries, the northern cod fishery, the economic value of a marine reserve is calculated using a stochastic optimal control model with a jump-diffusion process. Counterfactual analysis shows that with a stochastic environment an optim...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Land economics 2009-08, Vol.85 (3), p.454-469
Main Authors: Grafton, R. Quentin, Kompas, Tom, Van Ha, Pham
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Using data from what was once one of the world’s largest capture fisheries, the northern cod fishery, the economic value of a marine reserve is calculated using a stochastic optimal control model with a jump-diffusion process. Counterfactual analysis shows that with a stochastic environment an optimal-sized marine reserve in this fishery would have prevented the fishery’s collapse and generated a triple payoff: raising resource rents even if harvesting was "optimal"; decreasing recovery time for the biomass to return to its former state, smoothing fishers’ harvests and resource rents; and lowering the chance of a catastrophic collapse following a negative shock. (JEL Q22, Q57)
ISSN:0023-7639
1543-8325
DOI:10.3368/le.85.3.454