EPIDEMIOLOGICAL MODEL OF ACUTE BACTERIAL AND VIRAL DIARRHOEAL DISEASES

A prototype of an epidemiological model on the dynamics of acute diarrhoeal diseases was constructed. The model is restricted to the common acute bacterial and viral diarrhoeas caused by enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) and rotavirus. The model was conceived as an epidemiological process, in...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of diarrhoeal diseases research 1985-06, Vol.3 (2), p.65-72
Main Authors: HAN, AUNG MYO, KHIN MAUNG U, HLAING, THEIN, BOZIKOV, JANDRANKA, DEZELIC, GJURO, CVJETANOVIC, BRANKO
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Acute diseases
Child, Preschool
Children
Diarrhea
Diarrhea - epidemiology
Diarrhea - etiology
Diarrhea - therapy
Disease models
Epidemiology
Escherichia coli Infections - complications
Humans
Infant
Infant, Newborn
Infections
Leading Article
Modeling
Models, Theoretical
Myanmar
Parametric models
Rotavirus
Rotavirus Infections - complications
Simulations
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Summary:A prototype of an epidemiological model on the dynamics of acute diarrhoeal diseases was constructed. The model is restricted to the common acute bacterial and viral diarrhoeas caused by enterotoxigenic Escherichia coli (ETEC) and rotavirus. The model was conceived as an epidemiological process, in which the population flowed among various epidemiological classes and was expressed in a system of equations. A suitable computer program was written, enabling simulation of the natural course of infections in endemic and epidemic situations. The model appears to be a useful tool for planning and evaluating control programs. However, further validation and refinement of the model, e.g. age structuring, adaptation to specific infections and possible incorporation of seasonality, is needed.
ISSN:0253-8768
2311-8512