Juvenile Recidivism: A Comparison of Three Prediction Instruments

Compared three models to predict recidivism in juvenile offenders. Discriminant analyses performed on data from 91 juvenile parolees (42 nonrecidivists, 49 recidivists) revealed that Orange County Risk Assessment Instrument and Arizona Juvenile Risk Assessment Form were able to predict recidivism 18...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Adolescence 1990-07, Vol.25 (98), p.441-450
Main Authors: Ashford, Jose B, LeCroy, Craig Winston
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Adolescent
Adolescents
Adult and adolescent clinical studies
Arizona
Behavior
Biological and medical sciences
California
Children & youth
Delinquency
Female
Follow-Up Studies
Humans
Juvenile Delinquency
Juvenile Delinquency - psychology
Juvenile Delinquency - rehabilitation
Male
Measures (Instruments)
Medical sciences
Methodological Problems
Personality Assessment
Prediction
Predictive Validity
Psychology. Psychoanalysis. Psychiatry
Psychometrics
Psychopathology. Psychiatry
Recidivism
Recurrence
Risk Assessment
Risk Factors
Social behavior disorders. Criminal behavior. Delinquency
Tests
Young Adults
Youth Problems
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Summary:Compared three models to predict recidivism in juvenile offenders. Discriminant analyses performed on data from 91 juvenile parolees (42 nonrecidivists, 49 recidivists) revealed that Orange County Risk Assessment Instrument and Arizona Juvenile Risk Assessment Form were able to predict recidivism 18-22 percent better than chance. Contra Costa Risk Assessment Instrument was unable to discriminate between recidivists and nonrecidivists. (Author/NB)
ISSN:0001-8449