Problems in Drawing Epidemiological Inferences by Fitting Epidemic Chain Models to Lumped Data

The common cold data presented by Heasman and Reid (1961, British Journal of Preventive and Social Medicine 15, 12-16) are analysed once more. It is shown that lumped chain frequencies cannot be interpreted satisfactorily by fitting various alternative epidemic chain models. In order to draw firm co...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Biometrics 1982-09, Vol.38 (3), p.843-847
Main Author: Schenzle, Dieter
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Biometrics
Children
Common cold
Common Cold - epidemiology
Data models
Disease models
Epidemics
Epidemiology
Humans
Infections
Modeling
Models, Biological
Shorter Communications
Social medicine
Statistics as Topic
Stochastic models
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Summary:The common cold data presented by Heasman and Reid (1961, British Journal of Preventive and Social Medicine 15, 12-16) are analysed once more. It is shown that lumped chain frequencies cannot be interpreted satisfactorily by fitting various alternative epidemic chain models. In order to draw firm conclusions of epidemiological relevance it is necessary to take into account the true complexity of recorded data.
ISSN:0006-341X
1541-0420
DOI:10.2307/2530063