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Transparency and Accountability: Empirical Results for Us States

Recent formal models of accountability allow us to make different conditional predictions about how transparency affects voters’ willingness to re-elect incumbents and acceptance of higher taxes. We review two models and investigate empirical implications derived from or related to them, using panel...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of theoretical politics 2010-10, Vol.22 (4), p.379-406
Main Authors: Alt, James E., Lowry, Robert C.
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Recent formal models of accountability allow us to make different conditional predictions about how transparency affects voters’ willingness to re-elect incumbents and acceptance of higher taxes. We review two models and investigate empirical implications derived from or related to them, using panel data from 1972—2000 for U.S. state budget process transparency, gubernatorial elections, and tax increases in a small structural model. We do not find that budget transparency has a direct effect on incumbent retention, but we do find clear evidence that increased transparency dampens the negative effect of tax increases on retention of incumbent governors. Independent of this, we also find that increased transparency leads to greater fiscal scale. We suggest some possible directions for future models based on our results.
ISSN:0951-6298
1460-3667
DOI:10.1177/0951629810375641