Migration, Fertility, and State Policy in Hubei Province, China

Despite China's one-child family planning policy, the nation experienced a slight rise in the birth rate in the mid-1980s. Many observers attributed this rise to the heightenedfertility of those rural-to-urban migrants who moved without a change in registration (temporary migrants), presumably...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Demography 1997-11, Vol.34 (4), p.481-491
Main Authors: Goldstein, Alice, White, Michael, Goldstein, Sidney
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
1200
9130
9179
Adolescent
Adult
Age
Agricultural production
Asia & the Pacific
Birth Rate
Births
Childbirth
China
China - epidemiology
Cities
Consumption
Demography
Developing Countries
Economic reform
Experimental/theoretical treatment
Family Characteristics
Family planning
Family Planning Services - legislation & jurisprudence
Female
Female fertility
Fertility
Fertility and Contraception
Gender equality
Health Policy - legislation & jurisprudence
Hubei
Hubei China
Humans
Hypotheses
Infant, Newborn
Labor force
Middle Aged
Migration
Peoples Republic of China
Place of residence
Population Dynamics
Population policy
Pregnancy
Registration
Rural areas
Rural Population - statistics & numerical data
Social policy
Socioeconomic Factors
Statistical analysis
Studies
Towns
Urban areas
Urban Population - statistics & numerical data
Women
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Summary:Despite China's one-child family planning policy, the nation experienced a slight rise in the birth rate in the mid-1980s. Many observers attributed this rise to the heightenedfertility of those rural-to-urban migrants who moved without a change in registration (temporary migrants), presumably to avoid the surveillance of family planning programs at origin and destination. Using a sequential logit analysis with life-history data from a 1988 survey of Hubei Province, we test this possibility by comparing nonmigrants, permanent migrants, and temporary migrants. While changing family planning policies have a strong impact on timing offirst birth and on the likelihood of higher-order births, migrants generally do not have more children than nonmigrants. In fact, migration tends to lower the propensity to have a child. More specifically, the fertility of temporary migrants does not differ significantly from that of other women.
ISSN:0070-3370
1533-7790
DOI:10.2307/3038304