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The High-Frequency Response of the EUR-USD Exchange Rate to ECB Communication
We investigate the impact of the European Central Bank's monetary policy communication during the press conference held after the monthly Governing Council meeting on the EUR-USD exchange rate in high frequency. Based on the method of Content Analysis, we construct communication indicators for...
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Published in: | Journal of money, credit and banking credit and banking, 2010-10, Vol.42 (7), p.1391-1417 |
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container_end_page | 1417 |
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container_title | Journal of money, credit and banking |
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creator | CONRAD, CHRISTIAN LAMLA, MICHAEL J. |
description | We investigate the impact of the European Central Bank's monetary policy communication during the press conference held after the monthly Governing Council meeting on the EUR-USD exchange rate in high frequency. Based on the method of Content Analysis, we construct communication indicators for the introductory statement and find that communication with respect to future price developments is most relevant. In response to statements about increasing risks to price stability the EUR appreciates on impact. To the contrary, communication about economic activity and monetary aggregates does not generate significant exchange rate reactions. |
doi_str_mv | 10.1111/j.1538-4616.2010.00346.x |
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Based on the method of Content Analysis, we construct communication indicators for the introductory statement and find that communication with respect to future price developments is most relevant. In response to statements about increasing risks to price stability the EUR appreciates on impact. 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Based on the method of Content Analysis, we construct communication indicators for the introductory statement and find that communication with respect to future price developments is most relevant. In response to statements about increasing risks to price stability the EUR appreciates on impact. To the contrary, communication about economic activity and monetary aggregates does not generate significant exchange rate reactions.</description><subject>American dollar</subject><subject>Bank credit</subject><subject>C22</subject><subject>central bank communication</subject><subject>Central banks</subject><subject>Communication</subject><subject>Content analysis</subject><subject>Credit</subject><subject>E52</subject><subject>E58</subject><subject>Economic activity</subject><subject>Economic expectations</subject><subject>Euro</subject><subject>European Central Bank</subject><subject>exchange rate</subject><subject>Exchange rates</subject><subject>expectations</subject><subject>F31</subject><subject>Foreign exchange rates</subject><subject>Impact analysis</subject><subject>Inflation rates</subject><subject>Interest rates</subject><subject>long memory GARCH processes</subject><subject>Macroeconomics</subject><subject>Monetary policy</subject><subject>monetary policy announcements</subject><subject>Money</subject><subject>Press releases</subject><subject>Prices</subject><subject>Pricing</subject><subject>Studies</subject><subject>Taylor rules</subject><subject>Western Europe</subject><issn>0022-2879</issn><issn>1538-4616</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2010</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>8BJ</sourceid><recordid>eNqNkE9PGzEQxa2KSg3Qj4BkcelpU3v9J_aBAyxJaAWtlCbiOPIuNtklWQd7I5JvX4dFOfTUkaWx_N5vPHoIYUqGNNX3ZkgFUxmXVA5zkl4JYVwOd5_Q4CicoAEheZ7laqS_oNMYG0KIFpwO0MN8afFd_bzMJsG-bm1b7fHMxo1vo8Xe4S7J48UsW_y5xeNdtTTts8Uz01nceTwubnDh1-ttW1emq317jj47s4r260c_Q4vJeF7cZfe_pz-K6_us4lrIzDlTOmEZFdwIoiXRVfWkSu2okLkspXJlrrUglHFeOq2ZZJJrLaV74sIaxc7Qt37uJvi0dOxgXcfKrlamtX4bQTFNOU0nOS__cTZ-G9q0HIyEytMfiieT6k1V8DEG62AT6rUJe6AEDilDA4cw4RAmHFKG95Rhl9CrHn2rV3b_3xz8fChu0i3xFz3fxM6HI8-JzoXULOlZr9exs7ujbsILyBEbCXj8NQU1fyyEmkxhwv4C_QSYaQ</recordid><startdate>201010</startdate><enddate>201010</enddate><creator>CONRAD, CHRISTIAN</creator><creator>LAMLA, MICHAEL J.</creator><general>Blackwell Publishing Inc</general><general>Wiley Subscription Services</general><general>Ohio State University Press</general><scope>BSCLL</scope><scope>AAYXX</scope><scope>CITATION</scope><scope>8BJ</scope><scope>FQK</scope><scope>JBE</scope></search><sort><creationdate>201010</creationdate><title>The High-Frequency Response of the EUR-USD Exchange Rate to ECB Communication</title><author>CONRAD, CHRISTIAN ; 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source | International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); Business Source Ultimate; Wiley-Blackwell Read & Publish Collection; JSTOR Archival Journals |
subjects | American dollar Bank credit C22 central bank communication Central banks Communication Content analysis Credit E52 E58 Economic activity Economic expectations Euro European Central Bank exchange rate Exchange rates expectations F31 Foreign exchange rates Impact analysis Inflation rates Interest rates long memory GARCH processes Macroeconomics Monetary policy monetary policy announcements Money Press releases Prices Pricing Studies Taylor rules Western Europe |
title | The High-Frequency Response of the EUR-USD Exchange Rate to ECB Communication |
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