The response of interest rates to the Federal Reserve's weekly money announcements: The ‘puzzle’ of anticipated money

Researchers, using the survey conducted by Money Market Services, Inc., have found that the anticipated component in the Federal Reserve's weekly money supply announcement is negatively correlated with the post-announcement change in market yields. We prove that eliminating a (downward) bias in...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of monetary economics 1987-05, Vol.19 (3), p.393-404
Main Authors: Deaves, Richard, Melino, Angelo, Pesando, James E.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Federal Reserve monetary policy
Interest rates
Money
Money supply
Responses
Studies
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Summary:Researchers, using the survey conducted by Money Market Services, Inc., have found that the anticipated component in the Federal Reserve's weekly money supply announcement is negatively correlated with the post-announcement change in market yields. We prove that eliminating a (downward) bias in the measure of anticipated money can, in theory, eliminate this puzzle, but that improving the efficiency of an already unbiased measure cannot. We find, using Canadian as well as U.S. interest rate data, that correcting the downward bias in the survey measure reduces, but does not eliminate, the role of anticipated money.
ISSN:0304-3932
1873-1295
DOI:10.1016/0304-3932(87)90005-5