The Economic Limit to Moore's Law

There have been numerous papers and discussions about the lives and deaths of Moore's Law, all of them dealing with several technological questions. In this paper, we consider economic limitations to the exponential growth of the number of components per chip. As the presented growth model show...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:IEEE transactions on semiconductor manufacturing 2011-02, Vol.24 (1), p.1-4
Main Authors: Rupp, K, Selberherr, S
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Applied sciences
Chips
Companies
Components per chip
Dealing
Death
Design. Technologies. Operation analysis. Testing
Economics
Electronics
Electronics industry
Exact sciences and technology
Fabrication
fabrication costs
Foundries
growth modeling
Integrated circuits
Law
Moore's Law
Semiconductor electronics. Microelectronics. Optoelectronics. Solid state devices
Semiconductors
Transistors
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Summary:There have been numerous papers and discussions about the lives and deaths of Moore's Law, all of them dealing with several technological questions. In this paper, we consider economic limitations to the exponential growth of the number of components per chip. As the presented growth model shows, economics constitute indeed a potential slow-down mechanism.
ISSN:0894-6507
1558-2345
DOI:10.1109/TSM.2010.2089811