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Predicting fuel poverty at a small-area level in England

This paper describes the development of a series of models for predicting the incidence of fuel poverty in England at a small-area level and examines the adequacy of the modelled results in informing our understanding of the geography of fuel poverty. This paper summarises the development of alterna...

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Published in:Energy policy 2011-07, Vol.39 (7), p.4370-4377
Main Authors: Fahmy, Eldin, Gordon, David, Patsios, Demi
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Language:English
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creator Fahmy, Eldin
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description This paper describes the development of a series of models for predicting the incidence of fuel poverty in England at a small-area level and examines the adequacy of the modelled results in informing our understanding of the geography of fuel poverty. This paper summarises the development of alternative approaches to model specification based upon different approaches to the treatment of household income. Since 2003 small-area fuel poverty estimates have been widely used to inform affordable warmth policies and local targeting of fuel poverty programs. Whilst improvements in data sources and methods in recent years provide an opportunity to better understand the spatial distribution of fuel poverty, these analyses suggest that our understanding of the incidence and spatial distribution of fuel poverty is highly sensitive to the way in which household incomes are measured. ► The proposed models estimate fuel poverty incidence at a small-area level. ► This is necessary in order to accurately target local fuel poverty interventions. ► Fuel poverty estimates are highly sensitive to differences in income measurement. ► Fewer children and more pensioners are fuel poor using EHCS income measures. ► More children and fewer pensioners are fuel poor using HBAI income measures.
doi_str_mv 10.1016/j.enpol.2011.04.057
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source International Bibliography of the Social Sciences (IBSS); ScienceDirect Journals; PAIS Index
subjects Applied sciences
Data analysis
Deprivation
Economic data
Energy
Energy economics
Energy policy
Exact sciences and technology
Family income
Fuel poverty
Fuel poverty Housing quality Deprivation
Fuels
General, economic and professional studies
geography
household income
Housing
Housing quality
issues and policy
Low income
Methodology. Modelling
Poverty
prediction
Regions
Studies
United Kingdom
title Predicting fuel poverty at a small-area level in England
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