A long-term trend and temporal fluctuations of the sea level at the Polish Baltic coast

• Published in: Oceanological and hydrobiological studies 2011-06, Vol.40 (2), p.96-107
• Main Authors: Wiśniewski, Bernard, Wolski, Tomasz, Musielak, Stanisław
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Analysis; Baltic coast; Climate change; Coasts; Earth and Environmental Science; Earth Sciences; Fluctuations; Hydrology; Marine; Marine & Freshwater Sciences; Mean sea level; Oceanography; Original Research Paper; Sea level; Sea level changes; Sea level rise; Spectral analysis; Spectrum analysis; Stations; trend; Trends
• ISSN: 1730-413X; 1897-3191; 1897-3191
• DOI: 10.2478/s13545-011-0020-9

The analysis of sea level record series along the Polish coast is presented. The main aim was to identify linear trends in the sea level changes at the coastal (Świnoujście, Kołobrzeg, Ustka, Łeba, Władysławowo, Hel, Gdynia, Gdańsk), lagoonal (Trzebież, Tokmicko) and riverine (Szczecin) gauge stations. The analysis showed individual coastal stations to differ in the rate of sea level changes. During 60 years of continuous observations (1947–2006), the differences varied from 1.0 (the western part of the coast) to 2.5 mm year −1 (the eastern part of the coast). The longest, more than 100-yr-long data series showed the sea level rise in Świnoujście and Kołobrzeg to be about 0.5 mm year −1 ; 1.57 mm year −1 being revealed in Gdańsk. Spectral analysis applied to the data showed numerous fluctuations and cyclicity in changes of the annual mean sea level at the Polish coast. A distinct, major 3-year cycle was revealed. In addition, three secondary cycles of 4.6, 6.7, and 8.6 years were present in the data, more or less clearly identifiable at individual stations.