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Modeling generation expansion in the context of a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. Application to the Colombian case

In an attempt to provide electricity generation investors with appropriate economic incentives so as to maintain quality of supply at socially optimal levels, a growing number of electricity market regulators have opted for implementing a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. In...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Energy policy 2011, Vol.39 (1), p.176-186
Main Authors: Rodilla, P, Batlle, C, Salazar, J, Sánchez, J.J
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:In an attempt to provide electricity generation investors with appropriate economic incentives so as to maintain quality of supply at socially optimal levels, a growing number of electricity market regulators have opted for implementing a security of supply mechanism based on long-term auctions. In this context, the ability to analyze long-term investment dynamics is a key issue not only for market agents, but also for regulators. This paper describes a model developed to serve this purpose. A general system-dynamics-inspired methodology has been designed to be able to simulate these long-term auction mechanisms in the formats presently in place. A full-scale simulation based on the Colombian system was conducted to illustrate model capabilities.
ISSN:0301-4215
1873-6777
DOI:10.1016/j.enpol.2010.09.027