Does the NCAA Coaching Carousel Hamper the Professional Prospects of College Football Recruits?

College football recruits choose their schools partly for the opportunity to play for a specific coach. It is not unusual for the coach who recruited the player to leave before the end of the player’s career. This article investigates whether these departures affect a player’s National Football Leag...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of Sports Economics 2012-02, Vol.13 (1), p.20-33
Main Author: Hersch, Philip L.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Athletic drafts & trades
Athletic recruitment
Coaches & managers
College football
Regression analysis
Studies
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Summary:College football recruits choose their schools partly for the opportunity to play for a specific coach. It is not unusual for the coach who recruited the player to leave before the end of the player’s career. This article investigates whether these departures affect a player’s National Football League (NFL) draft prospects. Regression results indicate that, for players drafted, a coaching change drops the average draftee’s position nearly two thirds of a round, potentially costing the player hundreds of thousands of dollars in guaranteed money. This harmful effect holds regardless of why the coach left, such as being fired or accepting a new position elsewhere.
ISSN:1527-0025
1552-7794
DOI:10.1177/1527002510391806