China's export growth and the China safeguard: threats to the world trading system?

Is there evidence from China's pre-WTO accession period that newly imposed U.S. or EU import restrictions deflect Chinese exports to third markets? We examine this question by drawing on a newly constructed data set of U.S. and EU product-level import restrictions on Chinese trade imposed betwe...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Canadian journal of economics 2010-11, Vol.43 (4), p.1353-1388
Main Authors: Bown, Chad P., Crowley, Meredith A.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Accession
Barriers to entry
China
Chinese exports
Country and Industry Studies of Trade F140
Developing countries
Economic depressions
Empirical evidence
Export expansion
Export performance
Exports
F10
F12
F13
Impact analysis
Import policy
Import restriction
Import restrictions
Imports
International Linkages to Development
International trade
International Trade Organizations F130
Markets
Role of International Organizations O190
Socialist Institutions and Their Transitions: International Trade, Finance, Investment, and Aid P330
Studies
Tariffs
Trade
Trade development
Trade liberalization
Trade Policy
Trade restrictions
U.S.A
World trade
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Summary:Is there evidence from China's pre-WTO accession period that newly imposed U.S. or EU import restrictions deflect Chinese exports to third markets? We examine this question by drawing on a newly constructed data set of U.S. and EU product-level import restrictions on Chinese trade imposed between 1992 and 2001, and we estimate their impact on Chinese exports to alternative markets. We find no systematic evidence that the import restrictions imposed during this period resulted in Chinese exports surging to third markets. To the contrary, there is weak evidence of a chilling effect on China's exports to third markets. Y-a-t-il évidence, à partir de l'expérience de la Chine avant son entrée à OMC, que les nouvelles restrictions aux importations chinoises des États-Unis et de l'Union Européenne détournent les exportations chinoises vers de tiers marchés? On examine la question à l'aide d'une base de données américaines et européennes nouvellement construite sur les restrictions à l'importation de produits chinois entre 1992 ert 2001, et on calibre leurs impacts sur les exportations chinoises vers des tiers marchés. Il n'y a pas d'évidence systématique que ces restrictions aux importations chinoises ont résulté en un accroissement des exportations vers des tiers marchés. Au contraire, il y a un faible support pour l'hypothèse d'un refroidissement des exportations vers ces tiers marchés.
ISSN:0008-4085
1540-5982
DOI:10.1111/j.1540-5982.2010.01617.x