Amylase value in drains after pancreatic resection as predictive factor of postoperative pancreatic fistula : Results of a prospective study in 137 patients

• Published in: Annals of surgery 2007-08, Vol.246 (2), p.281-287
• Main Authors: MOLINARI, Enrico, BASSI, Claudio, SALVIA, Roberto, BUTTURINI, Giovanni, CRIPPA, Stefano, TALAMINI, Giorgio, FALCONI, Massimo, PEDERZOLI, Paolo
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: Amylases - analysis; Ascitic Fluid - enzymology; Biological and medical sciences; Diagnosis, Differential; Drainage; False Negative Reactions; False Positive Reactions; Female; Follow-Up Studies; General aspects; Humans; Incidence; Male; Medical sciences; Middle Aged; Original; Pancreatic Fistula - diagnosis; Pancreatic Fistula - epidemiology; Pancreatic Fistula - etiology; Pancreatic Neoplasms - surgery; Postoperative Complications; Postoperative Period; Predictive Value of Tests; Prospective Studies; Risk Factors; ROC Curve; Time Factors; Treatment Failure
• ISSN: 0003-4932; 1528-1140
• DOI: 10.1097/SLA.0b013e3180caa42f

The correlation of the amylase value in drains (AVD) with the development of pancreatic fistula (PF) is still unclear. The purpose of this study was to identify within the first postoperative day (POD1) the predictive role of different risks factors, including AVD, in the development of PF. We prospectively investigated 137 patients who underwent major pancreatic resections. PF was defined and graded in accordance with the International Study Group on PF. We considered 101 pancreaticoduodenectomies and 36 distal resections. The overall incidence of PF (A, B, and C grades) was 19.7% and it was 14.8% after pancreaticoduodenectomy and 33.3% after distal resection. All PF occurred in "soft" remnant pancreas. The PF developed in patients with a POD1 median AVD of 10,000 U/L, whereas patients without PF had a median AVD of 1222 U/L (P < 0.001). We established a cut-off of 5000 U/L POD1 AVD for univariate and multivariate analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was 0.922 (P < 0.001). The predicting risk factors selected in the univariate setting were "soft" pancreas (P = 0.005; odds ratio [OR]: 1.54; 95% CI: 1.32-1.79) and AVD (P < 0.001; OR: 5.66; 95% CI: 3.6-8.7; positive predictive value 59%; negative predictive value 98%), whereas in multivariate analysis the predicting risk factor was the POD1 AVD (P < 0.001; OR: 68.4; 95% CI: 14.8-315). Only 2 PFs were detected with AVD or =5000 U/L is the only significant predictive factor of PF development.