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Is an Exercise Tolerance Test Indicated Before Beginning Regular Exercise? A Decision Analysis

ABSTRACT BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE The present study, using a decision analysis, evaluates whether an exercise tolerance test (ETT) is indicated before initiating regular physical activity to reduce the risk of sudden death during exercise training. DESIGN The study encompasses a decision tree, Monte...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Journal of general internal medicine : JGIM 2009-08, Vol.24 (8), p.934-938
Main Authors: Lahav, Dror, Leshno, Moshe, Brezis, Mayer
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:ABSTRACT BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE The present study, using a decision analysis, evaluates whether an exercise tolerance test (ETT) is indicated before initiating regular physical activity to reduce the risk of sudden death during exercise training. DESIGN The study encompasses a decision tree, Monte Carlo simulation, and utility analysis for adults at low to high risk for coronary disease, with a time horizon of five years, with or without routine ETT screening before initiating physical activity. MEASURES Mortality in Monte Carlo simulation; expected values in utility analysis. RESULTS Routine screening decreases mortality in intermediate to high-risk populations but not in low-risk persons. At all risk levels, the number of exercise-induced deaths prevented is less than the added number of deaths from angiography. Utility analysis indicates inferiority of routine screening, regardless of risk. Personal preferences (perceived stigma from having coronary disease and perceived benefit of regular exercise on quality of life) have a strong influence on the optimal choice. CONCLUSION Routine screening before initiating regular exercise is not recommended for the purpose of reducing the risk of sudden death during exercise training.
ISSN:0884-8734
1525-1497
DOI:10.1007/s11606-009-1029-2