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Novel cardiovascular risk prediction models in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus
Women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) which is underestimated by the Framingham risk score (FRS). We hypothesized that new risk scores that include inflammation or vascular age in the risk calculation would better identify women with SLE a...
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Published in: | Lupus 2011-12, Vol.20 (14), p.1526-1534 |
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description | Women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) which is underestimated by the Framingham risk score (FRS). We hypothesized that new risk scores that include inflammation or vascular age in the risk calculation would better identify women with SLE at risk for CHD, particularly in those with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis. We calculated the FRS and Reynolds risk score (RRS) in 121 women with SLE and 65 age-matched female controls; coronary age-modified risk scores (camFRS, camRRS) were calculated using coronary age derived from the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. Risk scores were compared in SLE and controls, and in SLE patients with and without CAC. Although CAC was present in 21 SLE patients (17%) and four controls (6%) (p = 0.033); the FRS, camFRS, RRS, and camRRS, did not differ significantly among SLE and controls (p > 0.05), but were all significantly higher in SLE patients with CAC compared with those without (p |
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We hypothesized that new risk scores that include inflammation or vascular age in the risk calculation would better identify women with SLE at risk for CHD, particularly in those with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis. We calculated the FRS and Reynolds risk score (RRS) in 121 women with SLE and 65 age-matched female controls; coronary age-modified risk scores (camFRS, camRRS) were calculated using coronary age derived from the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. Risk scores were compared in SLE and controls, and in SLE patients with and without CAC. Although CAC was present in 21 SLE patients (17%) and four controls (6%) (p = 0.033); the FRS, camFRS, RRS, and camRRS, did not differ significantly among SLE and controls (p > 0.05), but were all significantly higher in SLE patients with CAC compared with those without (p < 0.001 for all). The camFRS (8%, p = 0.016) but not camRRS (5%, p = 0.221) assigned significantly more SLE patients to a category of ≥ 10% risk than conventional FRS (1%) and RRS (2%). The RRS was of limited use but coronary age may improve CHD risk prediction in SLE.</description><identifier>ISSN: 0961-2033</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 1477-0962</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1177/0961203311420317</identifier><identifier>PMID: 21976402</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>London, England: SAGE Publications</publisher><subject>Adult ; Age ; Age Factors ; Atherosclerosis ; Cardiovascular disease ; Case-Control Studies ; Coronary Disease - etiology ; Coronary vessels ; Female ; Humans ; Lupus ; Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic - complications ; Medicine ; Middle Aged ; Models, Cardiovascular ; Risk Assessment ; Veins & arteries</subject><ispartof>Lupus, 2011-12, Vol.20 (14), p.1526-1534</ispartof><rights>The Author(s), 2011. Reprints and permissions: http://www.sagepub.co.uk/journalsPermissions.nav</rights><rights>SAGE Publications © Dec 2011</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c492t-fe6b3238280a97a3457872e17d5b6a029a50cf6e16f675c7e0f9e95ca05c3b4f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c492t-fe6b3238280a97a3457872e17d5b6a029a50cf6e16f675c7e0f9e95ca05c3b4f3</cites></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><link.rule.ids>230,314,780,784,885,27924,27925,79364</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/21976402$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Kawai, VK</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Solus, JF</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Oeser, A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Rho, YH</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Raggi, P</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Bian, A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Gebretsadik, T</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Shintani, A</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Stein, CM</creatorcontrib><title>Novel cardiovascular risk prediction models in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus</title><title>Lupus</title><addtitle>Lupus</addtitle><description>Women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) have increased risk for coronary heart disease (CHD) which is underestimated by the Framingham risk score (FRS). 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The camFRS (8%, p = 0.016) but not camRRS (5%, p = 0.221) assigned significantly more SLE patients to a category of ≥ 10% risk than conventional FRS (1%) and RRS (2%). 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We hypothesized that new risk scores that include inflammation or vascular age in the risk calculation would better identify women with SLE at risk for CHD, particularly in those with subclinical coronary atherosclerosis. We calculated the FRS and Reynolds risk score (RRS) in 121 women with SLE and 65 age-matched female controls; coronary age-modified risk scores (camFRS, camRRS) were calculated using coronary age derived from the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score. Risk scores were compared in SLE and controls, and in SLE patients with and without CAC. Although CAC was present in 21 SLE patients (17%) and four controls (6%) (p = 0.033); the FRS, camFRS, RRS, and camRRS, did not differ significantly among SLE and controls (p > 0.05), but were all significantly higher in SLE patients with CAC compared with those without (p < 0.001 for all). The camFRS (8%, p = 0.016) but not camRRS (5%, p = 0.221) assigned significantly more SLE patients to a category of ≥ 10% risk than conventional FRS (1%) and RRS (2%). The RRS was of limited use but coronary age may improve CHD risk prediction in SLE.</abstract><cop>London, England</cop><pub>SAGE Publications</pub><pmid>21976402</pmid><doi>10.1177/0961203311420317</doi><tpages>9</tpages><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record> |
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subjects | Adult Age Age Factors Atherosclerosis Cardiovascular disease Case-Control Studies Coronary Disease - etiology Coronary vessels Female Humans Lupus Lupus Erythematosus, Systemic - complications Medicine Middle Aged Models, Cardiovascular Risk Assessment Veins & arteries |
title | Novel cardiovascular risk prediction models in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus |
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