Geographically selective assortment of cycles in pandemics: meta-analysis of data collected by Chizhevsky

In the incidence patterns of cholera, diphtheria and croup during the past when they were of epidemic proportions, we document a set of cycles (periods), one of which was reported and discussed by A. L. Chizhevsky in the same data with emphasis on the mirroring in human disease of the ∼11-year sunsp...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Epidemiology and infection 2013-10, Vol.141 (10), p.2173-2184
Main Authors: GUMAROVA, L., CORNÉLISSEN, G., HILLMAN, D., HALBERG, F.
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Analysis of Variance
Bacterial infections
Biological and medical sciences
Cholera
Cholera - epidemiology
Chronobiology Phenomena
Croup - epidemiology
Diphtheria
Diphtheria - epidemiology
Epidemics
Fundamental and applied biological sciences. Psychology
HAI, Bacterial infections
Humans
India - epidemiology
Influenza
Microbiology
Original Papers
Pandemics
Pandemics - statistics & numerical data
Russia - epidemiology
Solar Activity
Time series
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Summary:In the incidence patterns of cholera, diphtheria and croup during the past when they were of epidemic proportions, we document a set of cycles (periods), one of which was reported and discussed by A. L. Chizhevsky in the same data with emphasis on the mirroring in human disease of the ∼11-year sunspot cycle. The data in this study are based on Chizhevsky's book The Terrestrial Echo of Solar Storms and on records from the World Health Organization. For meta-analysis, we used the extended linear and nonlinear cosinor. We found a geographically selective assortment of various cycles characterizing the epidemiology of infections, which is the documented novel topic of this paper, complementing the earlier finding in the 21st century or shortly before, of a geographically selective assortment of cycles characterizing human sudden cardiac death. Solar effects, if any, interact with geophysical processes in contributing to this assortment.
ISSN:0950-2688
1469-4409
DOI:10.1017/S0950268812002804