Epidemiological Characteristics and Spatial-Temporal Clusters of Mumps in Shandong Province, China, 2005–2014

• Published in: Scientific reports 2017-04, Vol.7 (1), p.46328-46328, Article 46328
• Main Authors: Li, Runzi, Cheng, Shenghui, Luo, Cheng, Rutherford, Shannon, Cao, Jin, Xu, Qinqin, Liu, Xiaodong, Liu, Yanxun, Xue, Fuzhong, Xu, Qing, Li, Xiujun
• Format: Article
• Language: English
• Subjects: 692/308/174; 692/700/478/174; Adolescent; Adult; Aged; Child; Child, Preschool; Children; China - epidemiology; Cluster Analysis; Coastal zone; Data processing; Female; Humanities and Social Sciences; Humans; Incidence; Infant; Male; Middle Aged; multidisciplinary; Mumps; Mumps - epidemiology; Population Surveillance; Proportional Hazards Models; Public health; Resource allocation; Science; Seasons; Spatial analysis; Spatio-Temporal Analysis; Vaccines; Young Adult
• ISSN: 2045-2322; 2045-2322
• DOI: 10.1038/srep46328

Mumps presents a serious threat to public health in China. We conducted a descriptive analysis to identify the epidemiological characteristics of mumps in Shandong Province. Spatial autocorrelation and space-time scan analyses were utilized to detect spatial-temporal clusters. From 2005 to 2014, 115745 mumps cases were reported in Shandong, with an average male-to-female ratio of 1.94. Mumps occurred mostly in spring (32.17% of all reported cases) and in children aged 5 to 9 (40.79% of all reported cases). The Moran’s I test was significant and local indicators of spatial autocorrelation (LISA) analysis revealed significant spatial clusters with high incidence. The results showed that the mid-west of Shandong Province and some coastal regions (Qingdao City and Weihai City) were high-risk areas, particularly in the center of the Jining City and the junction of Dongying City, Binzhou City and Zibo City. The results could assist local and national public health agencies in formulating better public health strategic planning and resource allocation.