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A novel inflammation‐based nomogram system to predict survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma

Background and Aim The existed staging systems were limited in the accuracy of prediction for overall survival (OS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The aim of this study is to establish a novel inflammation‐based prognostic system with nomogram for HCC patients. Methods A prospective coh...

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Published in:Cancer medicine (Malden, MA) MA), 2018-10, Vol.7 (10), p.5027-5035
Main Authors: Chen, Jinbin, Fang, Aiping, Chen, Minshan, Tuoheti, Yiminjiang, Zhou, Zhongguo, Xu, Li, Chen, Jiancong, Pan, Yangxun, Wang, Juncheng, Zhu, Huilian, Zhang, Yaojun
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container_title Cancer medicine (Malden, MA)
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creator Chen, Jinbin
Fang, Aiping
Chen, Minshan
Tuoheti, Yiminjiang
Zhou, Zhongguo
Xu, Li
Chen, Jiancong
Pan, Yangxun
Wang, Juncheng
Zhu, Huilian
Zhang, Yaojun
description Background and Aim The existed staging systems were limited in the accuracy of prediction for overall survival (OS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The aim of this study is to establish a novel inflammation‐based prognostic system with nomogram for HCC patients. Methods A prospective cohort of patients was recruited and assigned to the training cohort (n = 659) and validation cohort (n = 320) randomly. Different inflammation‐based score systems were evaluated to select the best one predicting overall survival (OS). The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by concordance index (C‐index) and calibration curve and compared with conventional staging systems. Results With a highest C‐index and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C‐reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion and extra‐hepatic metastases. The C‐index of the nomogram was 0.813 (95% CI, 0.789‐0.837) in the training cohort and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.756‐0.832) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve for predicting probability of survival showed that the nomogram had a high consistency with follow‐up data. The C‐index of the novel system was higher than other conventional staging systems (P 
doi_str_mv 10.1002/cam4.1787
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The aim of this study is to establish a novel inflammation‐based prognostic system with nomogram for HCC patients. Methods A prospective cohort of patients was recruited and assigned to the training cohort (n = 659) and validation cohort (n = 320) randomly. Different inflammation‐based score systems were evaluated to select the best one predicting overall survival (OS). The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by concordance index (C‐index) and calibration curve and compared with conventional staging systems. Results With a highest C‐index and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C‐reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion and extra‐hepatic metastases. The C‐index of the nomogram was 0.813 (95% CI, 0.789‐0.837) in the training cohort and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.756‐0.832) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve for predicting probability of survival showed that the nomogram had a high consistency with follow‐up data. The C‐index of the novel system was higher than other conventional staging systems (P &lt; 0.001). Conclusions The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data in the present study, predicted the OS of HCC patients. The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. C‐reactive protein albumin ratio was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion, and extra‐hepatic metastases. The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data, predicted the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients.</description><identifier>ISSN: 2045-7634</identifier><identifier>EISSN: 2045-7634</identifier><identifier>DOI: 10.1002/cam4.1787</identifier><identifier>PMID: 30259688</identifier><language>eng</language><publisher>United States: John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc</publisher><subject>Albumins - metabolism ; Biomarkers, Tumor - immunology ; C-Reactive Protein - metabolism ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - immunology ; Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology ; Clinical Cancer Research ; Female ; Hepatocellular carcinoma ; Humans ; Inflammation ; inflammation‐based score system ; Liver cancer ; Liver Neoplasms - immunology ; Liver Neoplasms - pathology ; Male ; Metastases ; Multivariate analysis ; nomogram ; Nomograms ; Original Research ; Prognosis ; prognostic value ; Prospective Studies ; Random Allocation ; Survival ; Tumor Burden</subject><ispartof>Cancer medicine (Malden, MA), 2018-10, Vol.7 (10), p.5027-5035</ispartof><rights>2018 The Authors. published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.</rights><rights>2018 The Authors. Cancer Medicine published by John Wiley &amp; Sons Ltd.</rights><rights>2018. This work is published under http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (the “License”). Notwithstanding the ProQuest Terms and Conditions, you may use this content in accordance with the terms of the License.</rights><lds50>peer_reviewed</lds50><oa>free_for_read</oa><woscitedreferencessubscribed>false</woscitedreferencessubscribed><citedby>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4437-d6381d61bf9a5cf1bc88f7983d563f52280b6cd98279f9f642ccb1a9fa9dfa3f3</citedby><cites>FETCH-LOGICAL-c4437-d6381d61bf9a5cf1bc88f7983d563f52280b6cd98279f9f642ccb1a9fa9dfa3f3</cites><orcidid>0000-0002-6619-1247 ; 0000-0002-1929-4278 ; 0000-0002-9752-4729</orcidid></display><links><openurl>$$Topenurl_article</openurl><openurlfulltext>$$Topenurlfull_article</openurlfulltext><thumbnail>$$Tsyndetics_thumb_exl</thumbnail><linktopdf>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2124056677/fulltextPDF?pq-origsite=primo$$EPDF$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktopdf><linktohtml>$$Uhttps://www.proquest.com/docview/2124056677?pq-origsite=primo$$EHTML$$P50$$Gproquest$$Hfree_for_read</linktohtml><link.rule.ids>230,314,727,780,784,885,11562,25753,27924,27925,37012,37013,44590,46052,46476,53791,53793,75126</link.rule.ids><backlink>$$Uhttps://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30259688$$D View this record in MEDLINE/PubMed$$Hfree_for_read</backlink></links><search><creatorcontrib>Chen, Jinbin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fang, Aiping</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Minshan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tuoheti, Yiminjiang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Zhongguo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Li</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Jiancong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Yangxun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Juncheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Huilian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Yaojun</creatorcontrib><title>A novel inflammation‐based nomogram system to predict survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma</title><title>Cancer medicine (Malden, MA)</title><addtitle>Cancer Med</addtitle><description>Background and Aim The existed staging systems were limited in the accuracy of prediction for overall survival (OS) of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients. The aim of this study is to establish a novel inflammation‐based prognostic system with nomogram for HCC patients. Methods A prospective cohort of patients was recruited and assigned to the training cohort (n = 659) and validation cohort (n = 320) randomly. Different inflammation‐based score systems were evaluated to select the best one predicting overall survival (OS). The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by concordance index (C‐index) and calibration curve and compared with conventional staging systems. Results With a highest C‐index and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C‐reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion and extra‐hepatic metastases. The C‐index of the nomogram was 0.813 (95% CI, 0.789‐0.837) in the training cohort and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.756‐0.832) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve for predicting probability of survival showed that the nomogram had a high consistency with follow‐up data. The C‐index of the novel system was higher than other conventional staging systems (P &lt; 0.001). Conclusions The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data in the present study, predicted the OS of HCC patients. The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. C‐reactive protein albumin ratio was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion, and extra‐hepatic metastases. The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data, predicted the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients.</description><subject>Albumins - metabolism</subject><subject>Biomarkers, Tumor - immunology</subject><subject>C-Reactive Protein - metabolism</subject><subject>Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - immunology</subject><subject>Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology</subject><subject>Clinical Cancer Research</subject><subject>Female</subject><subject>Hepatocellular carcinoma</subject><subject>Humans</subject><subject>Inflammation</subject><subject>inflammation‐based score system</subject><subject>Liver cancer</subject><subject>Liver Neoplasms - immunology</subject><subject>Liver Neoplasms - pathology</subject><subject>Male</subject><subject>Metastases</subject><subject>Multivariate analysis</subject><subject>nomogram</subject><subject>Nomograms</subject><subject>Original Research</subject><subject>Prognosis</subject><subject>prognostic value</subject><subject>Prospective Studies</subject><subject>Random Allocation</subject><subject>Survival</subject><subject>Tumor Burden</subject><issn>2045-7634</issn><issn>2045-7634</issn><fulltext>true</fulltext><rsrctype>article</rsrctype><creationdate>2018</creationdate><recordtype>article</recordtype><sourceid>24P</sourceid><sourceid>PIMPY</sourceid><recordid>eNp1kc9uEzEQhy0EolXpgRdAlrjAIa3_7NreC1IUUUAq4gJna9ZrN47sdbB3U-XGI_CMfRIcUqqChC_2aD5_mtEPoZeUXFBC2KWB2FxQqeQTdMpI0y6k4M3TR-8TdF7KhtQjCROSPkcnnLC2E0qdos0Sj2lnA_ajCxAjTD6Ndz9-9lDsUFsx3WSIuOzLZCOeEt5mO3gz4TLnnd9BwMnhbf1lx6ngWz-t8drWOhkbwhwgYwPZ-CqCF-iZg1Ds-f19hr5dvf-6-ri4_vLh02p5vTBNw-ViEFzRQdDeddAaR3ujlJOd4kMruGsZU6QXZugUk53rnGiYMT2FzkE3OOCOn6F3R-927qMdTJ0sQ9Db7CPkvU7g9d-d0a_1TdppQauUkSp4cy_I6ftsy6SjL4d9YLRpLppRypngrewq-vofdJPmPNb1KsUa0gohZaXeHimTUynZuodhKNGHEPUhRH0IsbKvHk__QP6JrAKXR-DWB7v_v0mvlp-b38pf0e6p1w</recordid><startdate>201810</startdate><enddate>201810</enddate><creator>Chen, Jinbin</creator><creator>Fang, Aiping</creator><creator>Chen, Minshan</creator><creator>Tuoheti, Yiminjiang</creator><creator>Zhou, Zhongguo</creator><creator>Xu, Li</creator><creator>Chen, Jiancong</creator><creator>Pan, Yangxun</creator><creator>Wang, Juncheng</creator><creator>Zhu, Huilian</creator><creator>Zhang, Yaojun</creator><general>John Wiley &amp; 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Fang, Aiping ; Chen, Minshan ; Tuoheti, Yiminjiang ; Zhou, Zhongguo ; Xu, Li ; Chen, Jiancong ; Pan, Yangxun ; Wang, Juncheng ; Zhu, Huilian ; Zhang, Yaojun</author></sort><facets><frbrtype>5</frbrtype><frbrgroupid>cdi_FETCH-LOGICAL-c4437-d6381d61bf9a5cf1bc88f7983d563f52280b6cd98279f9f642ccb1a9fa9dfa3f3</frbrgroupid><rsrctype>articles</rsrctype><prefilter>articles</prefilter><language>eng</language><creationdate>2018</creationdate><topic>Albumins - metabolism</topic><topic>Biomarkers, Tumor - immunology</topic><topic>C-Reactive Protein - metabolism</topic><topic>Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - immunology</topic><topic>Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology</topic><topic>Clinical Cancer Research</topic><topic>Female</topic><topic>Hepatocellular carcinoma</topic><topic>Humans</topic><topic>Inflammation</topic><topic>inflammation‐based score system</topic><topic>Liver cancer</topic><topic>Liver Neoplasms - immunology</topic><topic>Liver Neoplasms - pathology</topic><topic>Male</topic><topic>Metastases</topic><topic>Multivariate analysis</topic><topic>nomogram</topic><topic>Nomograms</topic><topic>Original Research</topic><topic>Prognosis</topic><topic>prognostic value</topic><topic>Prospective Studies</topic><topic>Random Allocation</topic><topic>Survival</topic><topic>Tumor Burden</topic><toplevel>peer_reviewed</toplevel><toplevel>online_resources</toplevel><creatorcontrib>Chen, Jinbin</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Fang, Aiping</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Minshan</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Tuoheti, Yiminjiang</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhou, Zhongguo</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Xu, Li</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Chen, Jiancong</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Pan, Yangxun</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Wang, Juncheng</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhu, Huilian</creatorcontrib><creatorcontrib>Zhang, Yaojun</creatorcontrib><collection>Wiley Open Access</collection><collection>Wiley Open Access</collection><collection>Medline</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE (Ovid)</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>MEDLINE</collection><collection>PubMed</collection><collection>CrossRef</collection><collection>ProQuest Central (Corporate)</collection><collection>Health &amp; 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The aim of this study is to establish a novel inflammation‐based prognostic system with nomogram for HCC patients. Methods A prospective cohort of patients was recruited and assigned to the training cohort (n = 659) and validation cohort (n = 320) randomly. Different inflammation‐based score systems were evaluated to select the best one predicting overall survival (OS). The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were evaluated by concordance index (C‐index) and calibration curve and compared with conventional staging systems. Results With a highest C‐index and areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), C‐reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion and extra‐hepatic metastases. The C‐index of the nomogram was 0.813 (95% CI, 0.789‐0.837) in the training cohort and 0.794 (95% CI, 0.756‐0.832) in the validation cohort. The calibration curve for predicting probability of survival showed that the nomogram had a high consistency with follow‐up data. The C‐index of the novel system was higher than other conventional staging systems (P &lt; 0.001). Conclusions The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data in the present study, predicted the OS of HCC patients. The inflammation‐based score system with the highest predicting value and the parameters best reflecting tumor burden identified by multivariate analysis were selected to construct a novel predicting nomogram system. C‐reactive protein albumin ratio was selected to construct the novel system, along with tumor number, tumor size, macrovascular invasion, and extra‐hepatic metastases. The novel inflammation‐based nomogram, developed from prospectively collected data, predicted the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients.</abstract><cop>United States</cop><pub>John Wiley &amp; Sons, Inc</pub><pmid>30259688</pmid><doi>10.1002/cam4.1787</doi><tpages>9</tpages><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6619-1247</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1929-4278</orcidid><orcidid>https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9752-4729</orcidid><oa>free_for_read</oa></addata></record>
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subjects Albumins - metabolism
Biomarkers, Tumor - immunology
C-Reactive Protein - metabolism
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - immunology
Carcinoma, Hepatocellular - pathology
Clinical Cancer Research
Female
Hepatocellular carcinoma
Humans
Inflammation
inflammation‐based score system
Liver cancer
Liver Neoplasms - immunology
Liver Neoplasms - pathology
Male
Metastases
Multivariate analysis
nomogram
Nomograms
Original Research
Prognosis
prognostic value
Prospective Studies
Random Allocation
Survival
Tumor Burden
title A novel inflammation‐based nomogram system to predict survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma
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