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Transmission of tuberculosis and predictors of large clusters within three years in an urban setting in Tokyo, Japan: a population-based molecular epidemiological study

ObjectiveMolecular epidemiology is a promising tool for understanding tuberculosis transmission dynamics but has not been sufficiently utilised in Asian countries including Japan. The aim of this study was to estimate the proportion of TB cases attributable to recent transmission and to identify ris...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:BMJ open 2019-05, Vol.9 (5), p.e029295-e029295
Main Authors: Izumi, Kiyohiko, Murase, Yoshiro, Uchimura, Kazuhiro, Kaebeta, Aya, Ishihara, Keiko, Kaguraoka, Sumi, Takii, Takemasa, Ohkado, Akihiro
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Language:English
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Summary:ObjectiveMolecular epidemiology is a promising tool for understanding tuberculosis transmission dynamics but has not been sufficiently utilised in Asian countries including Japan. The aim of this study was to estimate the proportion of TB cases attributable to recent transmission and to identify risk factors of genotype clustering and the development of large clusters within 3 years in an urban setting in Japan.Design and settingLong-term cross-sectional observational study combining the characteristics of patients with culture-positive TB notified in Shinjuku City, Tokyo (2002–2013), with genotype data of Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Primary outcome measureGenotype clustering rate and association between genotype clustering status and explanatory variables.ResultsAmong 1025 cases, 515 were localised within 113 genotype clusters. The overall clustering rate was 39.2%. Significantly higher rates were found in patients aged
ISSN:2044-6055
2044-6055
DOI:10.1136/bmjopen-2019-029295