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Uncertainty in learning, choice, and visual fixation

Uncertainty plays a critical role in reinforcement learning and decision making. However, exactly how it influences behavior remains unclear. Multiarmed-bandit tasks offer an ideal test bed, since computational tools such as approximate Kalman filters can closely characterize the interplay between t...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences - PNAS 2020-02, Vol.117 (6), p.3291-3300
Main Authors: Stojić, Hrvoje, Orquin, Jacob L., Dayan, Peter, Dolan, Raymond J., Speekenbrink, Maarten
Format: Article
Language:English
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Summary:Uncertainty plays a critical role in reinforcement learning and decision making. However, exactly how it influences behavior remains unclear. Multiarmed-bandit tasks offer an ideal test bed, since computational tools such as approximate Kalman filters can closely characterize the interplay between trial-by-trial values, uncertainty, learning, and choice. To gain additional insight into learning and choice processes, we obtained data from subjects’ overt allocation of gaze. The estimated value and estimation uncertainty of options influenced what subjects looked at before choosing; these same quantities also influenced choice, as additionally did fixation itself. A momentary measure of uncertainty in the form of absolute prediction errors determined how long participants looked at the obtained outcomes. These findings affirm the importance of uncertainty in multiple facets of behavior and help delineate its effects on decision making.
ISSN:0027-8424
1091-6490
DOI:10.1073/pnas.1911348117