Lockdown impact on COVID-19 epidemics in regions across metropolitan France

Some have questioned the need for a nationwide implementation given that most hospital admissions were concentrated in two of 13 regions; others have even questioned the impact of the lockdown on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread, arguing that the natural epidemic p...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:The Lancet 2020-10, Vol.396 (10257), p.1068-1069
Main Authors: Cauchemez, Simon, Kiem, Cécile Tran, Paireau, Juliette, Rolland, Patrick, Fontanet, Arnaud
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
Betacoronavirus
Communicable Disease Control
Coronavirus Infections
Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology
Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control
Coronavirus Infections - transmission
Coronaviruses
Correspondence
COVID-19
Epidemics
France
Hospitals
Humans
Intensive care
Intensive care units
Mathematics
Pandemics
Pandemics - prevention & control
Patient admissions
Pneumonia, Viral
Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology
Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control
Pneumonia, Viral - transmission
Regions
SARS-CoV-2
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
Social Isolation
Social Isolation - psychology
Statistics
Viral diseases
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Summary:Some have questioned the need for a nationwide implementation given that most hospital admissions were concentrated in two of 13 regions; others have even questioned the impact of the lockdown on severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) spread, arguing that the natural epidemic peak was about to be reached. [...]most regions were experiencing exponential growth in hospital admissions (appendix), such that saturation of local intensive care units might have occurred in those regions in the absence of any lockdown. SC and AF are members of the French COVID19 Scientific Council of the French Ministry of Health.
ISSN:0140-6736
1474-547X
DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32034-1