COVID-19 lockdown and its latency in Northern Italy: seismic evidence and socio-economic interpretation

The Italian Government has decreed a series of progressive restrictions to delay the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion in Italy since March 10, 2020, including limitation in individual mobility and the closure of social, cultural, economic and industrial activities. Here we show the lockdown effect in Nor...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Scientific reports 2020-10, Vol.10 (1), p.16487-16487, Article 16487
Main Authors: Piccinini, Davide, Giunchi, Carlo, Olivieri, Marco, Frattini, Federico, Di Giovanni, Matteo, Prodi, Giorgio, Chiarabba, Claudio
Format: Article
Language:English
Subjects:
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704/2151/508
Coronavirus Infections - epidemiology
Coronavirus Infections - prevention & control
Coronaviruses
COVID-19
Earthquakes - statistics & numerical data
Economics
Humanities and Social Sciences
Humans
Industrial areas
Italy
Latency
multidisciplinary
Noise
Noise reduction
Pandemics
Pandemics - prevention & control
Pneumonia, Viral - epidemiology
Pneumonia, Viral - prevention & control
Quarantine - statistics & numerical data
Science
Science (multidisciplinary)
Shelter in place
Signal-To-Noise Ratio
Socioeconomics
Time
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Summary:The Italian Government has decreed a series of progressive restrictions to delay the COVID-19 pandemic diffusion in Italy since March 10, 2020, including limitation in individual mobility and the closure of social, cultural, economic and industrial activities. Here we show the lockdown effect in Northern Italy, the COVID-19 most affected area, as revealed by noise variation at seismic stations. The reaction to lockdown was slow and not homogeneous with spots of negligible noise reduction, especially in the first week. A fresh interpretation of seismic noise variations in terms of socio-economic indicators sheds new light on the lockdown efficacy pointing to the causes of such delay: the noise reduction is significant where non strategic activities prevails, while it is small or negligible where dense population and strategic activities are present. These results are crucial for the a posteriori interpretation of the pandemic diffusion and the efficacy of differently targeted political actions.
ISSN:2045-2322
2045-2322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-020-73102-3